# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-04-21 · 18 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26APR21NYYBOS · as_of 2026-10-26T22:23:38Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-04-21 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26APR21NYYBOS ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of New York Y vs Boston Professional Baseball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Double Play	double play	42	40	0.95	YYYYYYYYYY	0.92	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	38	33	0.87	YYYYYYYYYY	0.83	yes
Triple	triple	42	36	0.86	nYYYYYYYYY	0.83	yes
Bullpen	bullpen	5	5	1	YYYYY	0.81	yes
Error	error	42	33	0.79	YYYYYYYYYn	0.76	no
MVP	mvp	41	32	0.78	nYYYYYYYnn	0.75	yes
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	37	28	0.76	YnYnYYYYYY	0.72	yes
Fenway Park	fenway park	1	1	1	Y	0.67	yes
Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit	pinch hit|pinch hitter	5	4	0.8	YYnYY	0.66	yes
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	42	25	0.6	nYYYYnYYYY	0.57	yes
Grand Slam	grand slam	42	24	0.57	nnnYYnYYYY	0.55	no
Walk Off	walk off	42	22	0.52	nYYYYYYnYY	0.49	yes
Ohtani	ohtani	39	18	0.46	YYYYnnYYnn	0.47	no
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	42	18	0.43	nnnYYYnYnn	0.46	no
Extra Inning	extra inning	42	18	0.43	YnnnYYnYYY	0.42	no
Perfect Game	perfect game	5	1	0.2	nYnnn	0.39	no
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	42	10	0.24	YYnnYnnnnY	0.24	no
What a Catch	what a catch	42	2	0.05	nnnnnnnnnn	0.08	yes