# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-04-18 · 18 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26APR18ATLPHI · as_of 2026-10-26T16:06:25Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-04-18 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26APR18ATLPHI ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Atlanta vs Philadelphia Professional Baseball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Double Play	double play	38	36	0.95	YnYYYYYYYY	0.91	hist	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	34	29	0.85	YYYYYYYYYY	0.81	hist	yes
Triple	triple	38	32	0.84	YYYYnYYYYY	0.81	hist	yes
MVP	mvp	37	30	0.81	YYYnnYYYYY	0.76	hist	yes
Error	error	38	30	0.79	YYYYYYYYYY	0.74	hist	yes
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	33	24	0.73	nYYYYnYnYY	0.68	hist	yes
Bullpen	bullpen	1	1	1	Y	0.66	hist	yes
Citizens Bank Park	citizens bank park	4	3	0.75	YYYn	0.65	hist	no
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	38	21	0.55	nnYYnYYYYn	0.54	hist	yes
Grand Slam	grand slam	38	20	0.53	nYYYnnnYYn	0.53	hist	yes
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	38	17	0.45	YnYnnnnYYY	0.47	hist	no
Walk Off	walk off	38	19	0.5	YYYnnYYYYY	0.46	hist	yes
Ohtani	ohtani	35	16	0.46	YnnnYYYYnn	0.46	hist	yes
Perfect Game	perfect game	1	0	0	n	0.44	hist	yes
Extra Inning	extra inning	38	15	0.39	nnnYYnnnYY	0.38	hist	no
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	38	9	0.24	nnnnYYnnYn	0.27	hist	no
What a Catch	what a catch	38	2	0.05	nnnnnnnnnn	0.1	hist	no
Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit	pinch hit|pinch hitter	1	1	1	Y	0.57	prior	yes