# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-04-17 · 18 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26APR17TBPIT · as_of 2026-10-25T01:45:07Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-04-17 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26APR17TBPIT ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Tampa Bay vs Pittsburgh Professional Baseball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Double Play	double play	36	34	0.94	YYYnYYYYYY	0.9	hist	yes
Triple	triple	36	30	0.83	YYYYYYnYYY	0.81	hist	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	32	27	0.84	YYYYYYYYYY	0.8	hist	yes
MVP	mvp	35	28	0.8	YYYYYnnYYY	0.75	hist	yes
Error	error	36	28	0.78	YYYYYYYYYY	0.73	hist	yes
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	31	22	0.71	YYnYYYYnYn	0.68	hist	yes
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	36	20	0.56	nYnnYYnYYY	0.54	hist	yes
Grand Slam	grand slam	36	19	0.53	YnnYYYnnnY	0.52	hist	yes
Ohtani	ohtani	33	16	0.48	YnYnnnYYYY	0.48	hist	no
Walk Off	walk off	36	17	0.47	nYYYYnnYYY	0.45	hist	yes
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	36	15	0.42	YnYnYnnnnY	0.44	hist	yes
Extra Inning	extra inning	36	13	0.36	nnnnnYYnnn	0.37	hist	yes
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	36	8	0.22	nnnnnnYYnn	0.25	hist	yes
What a Catch	what a catch	36	2	0.06	nnnnnnnnnn	0.09	hist	no
Bullpen	bullpen	0	0			0.56	prior	yes
Perfect Game	perfect game	0	0			0.56	prior	no
Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit	pinch hit|pinch hitter	0	0			0.56	prior	yes
PNC Park	pnc park	0	0			0.56	prior	yes