# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-04-15 · 17 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26APR15NYMLAD · as_of 2026-10-27T10:40:56Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-04-15 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26APR15NYMLAD ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of New York M vs Los Angeles D Professional Baseball Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Challenge	challenge	35	34	0.97	YYYYYYYYYY	0.95	yes
Double Play	double play	35	33	0.94	YYYYnYYYYY	0.9	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	31	26	0.84	YYYYYYYYYY	0.8	yes
Triple	triple	35	29	0.83	YYYYYYYnYY	0.8	yes
MVP	mvp	34	27	0.79	nYYYYYnnYY	0.74	yes
Error	error	35	27	0.77	YYYYYYYYYY	0.72	yes
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	30	22	0.73	YYYnYYYYnY	0.7	no
Dodger Stadium	dodger stadium	1	1	1	Y	0.65	yes
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	35	19	0.54	nnYnnYYnYY	0.53	yes
Grand Slam	grand slam	35	18	0.51	YYnnYYYnnn	0.5	yes
Ohtani	ohtani	32	15	0.47	YYnYnnnYYY	0.46	yes
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	35	14	0.4	YYnYnYnnnn	0.44	yes
Walk Off	walk off	35	16	0.46	nnYYYYnnYY	0.43	yes
Extra Inning	extra inning	35	13	0.37	nnnnnnYYnn	0.37	no
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	35	8	0.23	nnnnnnnYYn	0.26	no
What a Catch	what a catch	35	2	0.06	nnnnnnnnnn	0.1	no
Robot	robot	31	2	0.06	Ynnnnnnnnn	0.1	no