# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-04-12 · 17 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26APR12CLEATL · as_of 2026-10-26T18:26:12Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-04-12 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26APR12CLEATL ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Cleveland vs Atlanta Professional Baseball Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Challenge	challenge	32	31	0.97	YYYYYYYYYY	0.95	hist	yes
Double Play	double play	32	30	0.94	YYYYYYYnYY	0.89	hist	yes
Triple	triple	32	26	0.81	YYYYYYYYYn	0.82	hist	yes
MVP	mvp	31	25	0.81	YYYnYYYYYn	0.78	hist	no
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	28	23	0.82	nYYYYYYYYY	0.76	hist	yes
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	27	20	0.74	YYYYYYnYYY	0.69	hist	yes
Error	error	32	24	0.75	YYYYYYYYYY	0.68	hist	yes
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	32	17	0.53	YYYnnYnnYY	0.52	hist	no
Grand Slam	grand slam	32	17	0.53	nYnYYnnYYn	0.52	hist	yes
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	32	13	0.41	YYnYYnYnnn	0.48	hist	yes
Ohtani	ohtani	29	13	0.45	YnYYYnYnnY	0.45	hist	no
Walk Off	walk off	32	13	0.41	YnnnnYYYnn	0.41	hist	yes
Extra Inning	extra inning	32	13	0.41	YnnnnnnnYY	0.38	hist	no
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	32	7	0.22	nnYnnnnnnY	0.24	hist	no
Robot	robot	28	2	0.07	nnnYnnnnnn	0.12	hist	no
What a Catch	what a catch	32	2	0.06	Ynnnnnnnnn	0.12	hist	no
Truist Park	truist park	0	0			0.56	prior	yes