# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-04-11 · 17 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26APR11BOSSTL · as_of 2026-10-26T10:01:58Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-04-11 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26APR11BOSSTL ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Boston vs St. Louis Professional Baseball Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Challenge	challenge	29	28	0.97	YYYYYYYYYY	0.94	hist	yes
Double Play	double play	29	28	0.97	YnYYYYYYYY	0.92	hist	yes
Triple	triple	29	24	0.83	YnYYYYYYYY	0.8	hist	no
MVP	mvp	28	23	0.82	nnYYYYnYYY	0.77	hist	no
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	25	20	0.8	nYnnYYYYYY	0.75	hist	yes
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	24	17	0.71	YYYYYYYYYn	0.7	hist	yes
Error	error	29	21	0.72	nnYYYYYYYY	0.66	hist	yes
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	29	15	0.52	YnnYYYnnYn	0.53	hist	yes
Grand Slam	grand slam	29	15	0.52	YnnnYnYYnn	0.52	hist	yes
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	29	12	0.41	YYnYYnYYnn	0.46	hist	no
Ohtani	ohtani	26	12	0.46	nnnYnYYYnY	0.45	hist	no
Extra Inning	extra inning	29	12	0.41	nnYYnnnnnY	0.41	hist	yes
Walk Off	walk off	29	11	0.38	nnnYnnnnYn	0.36	hist	no
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	29	7	0.24	nYnnnYnnnY	0.26	hist	no
Robot	robot	25	2	0.08	nnnnnnYnnn	0.13	hist	no
What a Catch	what a catch	29	2	0.07	nnnYnnnnnn	0.13	hist	no
Busch Stadium	busch stadium	0	0			0.56	prior	yes