# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-04-10 · 17 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26APR10SFBAL · as_of 2026-10-25T19:39:15Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-04-10 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26APR10SFBAL ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of San Francisco vs Baltimore Professional Baseball Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Challenge	challenge	27	26	0.96	YYYYYYYYYY	0.94	yes
Double Play	double play	27	26	0.96	YYYnYYYYYY	0.92	yes
Triple	triple	27	22	0.81	YYYnYYYYYY	0.79	yes
MVP	mvp	26	21	0.81	YYnnYYYYnY	0.75	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	23	18	0.78	YYnYnnYYYY	0.73	yes
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	22	16	0.73	YYYYYYYYYY	0.69	no
Error	error	27	19	0.7	YYnnYYYYYY	0.64	yes
Grand Slam	grand slam	27	14	0.52	YYYnnnYnYn	0.53	no
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	27	14	0.52	nYYnnYYYnn	0.51	no
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	27	11	0.41	nYYYnYYnYn	0.46	no
Ohtani	ohtani	24	11	0.46	YYnnnYnYYY	0.43	no
Oriole Park	oriole park	1	0	0	n	0.43	no
Extra Inning	extra inning	27	12	0.44	YYnnYYnnnY	0.42	no
Walk Off	walk off	27	10	0.37	YnnnnYnnnn	0.36	no
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	27	7	0.26	nnnYnnnYnY	0.26	no
Robot	robot	23	2	0.09	YnnnnnnnYn	0.14	no
What a Catch	what a catch	27	2	0.07	nnnnnYnnnn	0.13	no