# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-04-08 · 17 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26APR08DETMIN · as_of 2026-10-26T00:42:51Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-04-08 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26APR08DETMIN ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Detroit vs Minnesota Professional Baseball Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Challenge	challenge	25	24	0.96	YYYYYYYYYY	0.93	hist	yes
Double Play	double play	25	24	0.96	YYYYYnYYYY	0.91	hist	yes
Triple	triple	25	20	0.8	YYYYYnYYYY	0.78	hist	yes
MVP	mvp	24	20	0.83	YYYYnnYYYY	0.77	hist	no
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	21	16	0.76	YYYYnYnnYY	0.72	hist	yes
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	20	14	0.7	nnYYYYYYYY	0.66	hist	yes
Error	error	25	17	0.68	YnYYnnYYYY	0.62	hist	yes
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	25	14	0.56	YnnYYnnYYY	0.55	hist	no
Grand Slam	grand slam	25	13	0.52	nYYYYnnnYn	0.51	hist	yes
Extra Inning	extra inning	25	11	0.44	YnYYnnYYnn	0.46	hist	no
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	25	10	0.4	nnnYYYnYYn	0.45	hist	yes
Ohtani	ohtani	22	9	0.41	YnYYnnnYnY	0.41	hist	yes
Walk Off	walk off	25	10	0.4	YYYnnnnYnn	0.39	hist	no
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	25	6	0.24	nnnnnYnnnY	0.27	hist	no
What a Catch	what a catch	25	2	0.08	nnnnnnnYnn	0.14	hist	no
Robot	robot	21	1	0.05	nnYnnnnnnn	0.11	hist	yes
Target Field	target field	0	0			0.55	prior	yes