# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-04-07 · 17 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26APR07LADTOR · as_of 2026-10-26T09:56:20Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-04-07 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26APR07LADTOR ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Los Angeles D vs Toronto Professional Baseball Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Challenge	challenge	24	23	0.96	YYYYYYYYYY	0.92	hist	yes
Double Play	double play	24	23	0.96	YYYYYYnYYY	0.9	hist	yes
Triple	triple	24	19	0.79	YYYYYYnYYY	0.76	hist	yes
MVP	mvp	23	19	0.83	nYYYYnnYYY	0.75	hist	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	20	15	0.75	YYYYYnYnnY	0.73	hist	yes
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	19	13	0.68	YnnYYYYYYY	0.63	hist	yes
Error	error	24	16	0.67	YYnYYnnYYY	0.6	hist	yes
Grand Slam	grand slam	24	13	0.54	nnYYYYnnnY	0.53	hist	no
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	24	13	0.54	YYnnYYnnYY	0.51	hist	yes
Extra Inning	extra inning	24	11	0.46	YYnYYnnYYn	0.45	hist	no
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	24	10	0.42	nnnnYYYnYY	0.43	hist	no
Walk Off	walk off	24	10	0.42	nYYYnnnnYn	0.4	hist	no
Ohtani	ohtani	21	8	0.38	nYnYYnnnYn	0.4	hist	yes
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	24	5	0.21	nnnnnnYnnn	0.26	hist	yes
What a Catch	what a catch	24	2	0.08	nnnnnnnnYn	0.15	hist	no
Robot	robot	20	1	0.05	nnnYnnnnnn	0.11	hist	no
Roger Centre	roger centre	1	1	1	Y	0.54	prior	yes