# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-04-05 · 17 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26APR05STLDET · as_of 2026-10-25T22:52:49Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-04-05 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26APR05STLDET ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of St. Louis vs Detroit Professional Baseball Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Double Play	double play	21	20	0.95	YYYYYYYYnY	0.94	hist	yes
Challenge	challenge	21	20	0.95	YYYYYYYYYY	0.91	hist	yes
MVP	mvp	20	17	0.85	YnYnYYYYnY	0.82	hist	no
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	17	15	0.88	nYYYYYYYYY	0.8	hist	no
Triple	triple	21	16	0.76	YYYYYYYYnY	0.76	hist	yes
Error	error	21	15	0.71	nnYYYnYYYY	0.62	hist	no
Grand Slam	grand slam	21	12	0.57	nnYnnYYYnY	0.57	hist	yes
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	16	10	0.62	YnYYnnYYYY	0.5	hist	yes
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	21	10	0.48	nnYYYnnnnY	0.5	hist	yes
Walk Off	walk off	21	9	0.43	nnYnYYYnnn	0.45	hist	no
Ohtani	ohtani	18	7	0.39	nnYnYnYYnn	0.43	hist	no
Extra Inning	extra inning	21	8	0.38	YnnYYnYnnn	0.42	hist	yes
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	21	9	0.43	nYYnnnYYYY	0.38	hist	no
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	21	5	0.24	nnnnnnnnYn	0.3	hist	no
What a Catch	what a catch	21	1	0.05	nnYnnnnnnn	0.14	hist	no
Robot	robot	17	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.1	hist	yes
Comerica Park	comerica park	0	0			0.56	prior	yes