# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-04-04 · 17 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26APR04MILKC · as_of 2026-10-26T07:18:38Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-04-04 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26APR04MILKC ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Milwaukee vs Kansas City Professional Baseball Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Double Play	double play	18	18	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.93	hist	yes
Challenge	challenge	18	17	0.94	YYYYYYYYYY	0.89	hist	yes
MVP	mvp	17	15	0.88	YYYYnYnYYY	0.78	hist	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	14	12	0.86	YYYnYYYYYY	0.76	hist	yes
Triple	triple	18	14	0.78	YnYYYYYYYY	0.72	hist	yes
Error	error	18	12	0.67	YYnnnYYYnY	0.61	hist	yes
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	18	10	0.56	YnnnnYYYnY	0.55	hist	no
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	13	7	0.54	YnnYnYYnnY	0.53	hist	yes
Grand Slam	grand slam	18	10	0.56	YnYnnYnnYY	0.49	hist	yes
Extra Inning	extra inning	18	7	0.39	nnYYnnYYnn	0.44	hist	no
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	18	7	0.39	nnnnYYnnYY	0.4	hist	yes
Ohtani	ohtani	15	5	0.33	nnnnnYnYnn	0.39	hist	yes
Walk Off	walk off	18	7	0.39	nnYnnYnYnn	0.36	hist	yes
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	18	4	0.22	nnYnnnnnnn	0.32	hist	yes
What a Catch	what a catch	18	1	0.06	nnnnnYnnnn	0.15	hist	no
Robot	robot	14	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.11	hist	no
Kauffman Stadium	kauffman stadium	1	1	1	Y	0.54	prior	yes