# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-04-03 · 17 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26APR03ATLAZ · as_of 2026-10-26T23:34:58Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-04-03 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26APR03ATLAZ ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Atlanta vs Arizona Professional Baseball Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Double Play	double play	16	16	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.92	hist	yes
Challenge	challenge	16	15	0.94	YYYYYYYYYY	0.88	hist	yes
MVP	mvp	15	13	0.87	YYYYYYnYnY	0.77	hist	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	12	10	0.83	nYYYYnYYYY	0.74	hist	yes
Triple	triple	16	12	0.75	nYYnYYYYYY	0.71	hist	yes
Error	error	16	11	0.69	nYYYnnnYYY	0.59	hist	no
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	11	6	0.55	YnYnnYnYYn	0.57	hist	no
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	16	9	0.56	YYYnnnnYYY	0.52	hist	no
Grand Slam	grand slam	16	8	0.5	YYYnYnnYnn	0.52	hist	yes
Extra Inning	extra inning	16	7	0.44	nnnnYYnnYY	0.41	hist	no
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	16	6	0.38	nYnnnnYYnY	0.4	hist	no
Walk Off	walk off	16	6	0.38	nnnnYnnYnn	0.35	hist	yes
Ohtani	ohtani	13	5	0.38	YnnnnnnYnY	0.35	hist	no
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	16	4	0.25	YnnnYnnnnn	0.31	hist	no
What a Catch	what a catch	16	1	0.06	nnnnnnnYnn	0.16	hist	no
Robot	robot	12	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.11	hist	no
Chase Field	chase field	0	0			0.53	prior	yes