# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-04-02 · 17 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26APR02NYMSF · as_of 2026-10-25T22:31:00Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-04-02 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26APR02NYMSF ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of New York M vs San Francisco Professional Baseball Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Double Play	double play	15	15	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.92	yes
Challenge	challenge	15	14	0.93	YYYYYYYYYY	0.88	yes
MVP	mvp	14	12	0.86	YYYYYYYnYn	0.77	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	11	9	0.82	YnYYYYnYYY	0.74	yes
Triple	triple	15	11	0.73	YnYYnYYYYY	0.71	yes
Oracle Park	oracle park	1	1	1	Y	0.63	yes
Error	error	15	10	0.67	nnYYYnnnYY	0.59	yes
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	10	6	0.6	YYnYnnYnYY	0.57	no
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	15	8	0.53	YYYYnnnnYY	0.52	yes
Grand Slam	grand slam	15	8	0.53	YYYYnYnnYn	0.52	no
Extra Inning	extra inning	15	6	0.4	nnnnnYYnnY	0.41	yes
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	15	5	0.33	YnYnnnnYYn	0.4	yes
Walk Off	walk off	15	6	0.4	nnnnnYnnYn	0.35	no
Ohtani	ohtani	12	4	0.33	YYnnnnnnYn	0.35	yes
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	15	4	0.27	YYnnnYnnnn	0.31	no
What a Catch	what a catch	15	1	0.07	nnnnnnnnYn	0.16	no
Robot	robot	11	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.11	no