# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-03-31 · 17 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAR31WSHPHI · as_of 2026-10-24T19:57:08Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-03-31 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAR31WSHPHI ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Washington vs Philadelphia Professional Baseball Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Double Play	double play	13	13	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.89	hist	yes
MVP	mvp	12	11	0.92	YYYYYYYYYn	0.89	hist	no
Challenge	challenge	13	12	0.92	YYYYYYYYYY	0.84	hist	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	9	7	0.78	YYnYYYYnY	0.67	hist	yes
Triple	triple	13	9	0.69	YYYnYYnYYY	0.64	hist	yes
Error	error	13	8	0.62	YYnnYYYnnn	0.57	hist	yes
Grand Slam	grand slam	13	7	0.54	nnYYYYnYnn	0.57	hist	yes
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	8	4	0.5	YYnYnnYn	0.54	hist	yes
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	13	6	0.46	YnYYYYnnnn	0.49	hist	yes
Extra Inning	extra inning	13	5	0.38	YYnnnnnYYn	0.42	hist	yes
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	13	4	0.31	nnYYnnnYnn	0.38	hist	no
Walk Off	walk off	13	5	0.38	YnnnnnnYnn	0.36	hist	no
Ohtani	ohtani	10	3	0.3	YnYYnnnnnn	0.35	hist	no
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	13	4	0.31	nYYnYnnnnY	0.34	hist	no
Robot	robot	9	0	0	nnnnnnnnn	0.14	hist	no
What a Catch	what a catch	13	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.11	hist	no
Citizens Bank Park	citizens bank park	0	0			0.52	prior	yes