# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-03-30 · 17 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAR30PITCIN · as_of 2026-10-24T18:36:21Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-03-30 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAR30PITCIN ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Pittsburgh vs Cincinnati Professional Baseball Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Double Play	double play	11	11	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.87	hist	yes
MVP	mvp	10	10	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.86	hist	yes
Challenge	challenge	11	10	0.91	YYYYYYYYYY	0.82	hist	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	7	6	0.86	YYnYYYY	0.72	hist	no
Error	error	11	8	0.73	YYYYnnYYYn	0.68	hist	no
Grand Slam	grand slam	11	7	0.64	YnnnYYYYnY	0.58	hist	no
Triple	triple	11	7	0.64	nnYYYnYYnY	0.58	hist	yes
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	11	6	0.55	YnYnYYYYnn	0.58	hist	no
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	6	3	0.5	YYnYnn	0.56	hist	yes
Ohtani	ohtani	8	3	0.38	YnYYnnnn	0.43	hist	no
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	11	3	0.27	nnnYYnYnnn	0.4	hist	no
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	11	4	0.36	nYnnYYnnnY	0.37	hist	no
Walk Off	walk off	11	5	0.45	YYYnnnnnnY	0.34	hist	no
Extra Inning	extra inning	11	4	0.36	nYYYnnnnnY	0.33	hist	yes
Robot	robot	7	0	0	nnnnnnn	0.18	hist	no
What a Catch	what a catch	11	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.14	hist	no
Great American Ball Park	great american ball park	0	0			0.53	prior	yes