# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-03-28 · 17 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAR28MINBAL · as_of 2026-10-26T16:57:35Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-03-28 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAR28MINBAL ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Minnesota vs Baltimore Professional Baseball Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Double Play	double play	8	8	1	YYYYYYYY	0.85	hist	yes
MVP	mvp	7	7	1	YYYYYYY	0.84	hist	yes
Challenge	challenge	8	7	0.88	nYYYYYYY	0.79	hist	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	4	3	0.75	YYnY	0.65	hist	yes
Ohtani	ohtani	5	3	0.6	YnYYn	0.63	hist	no
Error	error	8	6	0.75	YYYYYnnY	0.62	hist	yes
Triple	triple	8	5	0.62	YnnYYYnY	0.61	hist	no
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.6	hist	no
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	8	4	0.5	nYnYnYYn	0.57	hist	yes
Grand Slam	grand slam	8	4	0.5	YYnnnYYn	0.57	hist	yes
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	8	3	0.38	nnYnnYYn	0.51	hist	no
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	8	3	0.38	nnnnYYnY	0.5	hist	no
Walk Off	walk off	8	4	0.5	YYYYnnnn	0.47	hist	no
Extra Inning	extra inning	8	3	0.38	nnYYYnnn	0.46	hist	no
Robot	robot	4	0	0	nnnn	0.29	hist	no
What a Catch	what a catch	8	0	0	nnnnnnnn	0.18	hist	no
Oriole Park	oriole park	0	0			0.56	prior	no