# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-03-26 · 17 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAR26PITNYM · as_of 2026-10-26T23:00:07Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-03-26 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAR26PITNYM ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Pittsburgh vs New York M Professional Baseball Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Double Play	double play	5	5	1	YYYYY	0.7	hist	yes
Error	error	5	5	1	YYYYY	0.7	hist	no
Walk Off	walk off	5	4	0.8	YYYYn	0.7	hist	no
MVP	mvp	4	4	1	YYYY	0.67	hist	yes
Challenge	challenge	5	4	0.8	nYYYY	0.6	hist	yes
Ohtani	ohtani	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.58	hist	yes
Extra Inning	extra inning	5	3	0.6	nnYYY	0.51	hist	no
Triple	triple	5	3	0.6	YnnYY	0.5	hist	yes
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	5	2	0.4	nYnYn	0.5	hist	yes
Grand Slam	grand slam	5	2	0.4	YYnnn	0.5	hist	yes
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	5	1	0.2	nnYnn	0.41	hist	yes
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	5	1	0.2	nnnnY	0.31	hist	yes
What a Catch	what a catch	5	0	0	nnnnn	0.31	hist	no
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	1	1	1	Y	0.51	prior	no
Robot	robot	1	0	0	n	0.51	prior	no
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	0	0			0.51	prior	yes
Citi Field	citi field	0	0			0.51	prior	yes