# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-03-25 · 20 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAR252005NYYSF · as_of 2026-10-26T22:23:38Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-03-25 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAR252005NYYSF ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of New York Y vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Mar 25, 2026 at 8:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Double Play	double play	4	4	1	YYYY	0.7	hist	yes
Error	error	4	4	1	YYYY	0.7	hist	yes
Walk Off	walk off	4	4	1	YYYY	0.7	hist	no
MVP	mvp	3	3	1	YYY	0.67	hist	yes
Challenge	challenge	4	3	0.75	nYYY	0.6	hist	yes
Ohtani	ohtani	1	1	1	Y	0.58	hist	no
Extra Inning	extra inning	4	2	0.5	nnYY	0.51	hist	yes
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	4	2	0.5	nYnY	0.5	hist	no
Grand Slam	grand slam	4	2	0.5	YYnn	0.5	hist	no
Triple	triple	4	2	0.5	YnnY	0.5	hist	yes
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	4	1	0.25	nnYn	0.41	hist	no
What a Catch	what a catch	4	0	0	nnnn	0.31	hist	no
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	4	0	0	nnnn	0.31	hist	yes
Barry Bonds	barry bond	0	0			0.51	prior	yes
Bunt / Bunts	bunt	0	0			0.51	prior	no
Cove	cove	0	0			0.51	prior	yes
Jeter	jeter	0	0			0.51	prior	yes
Oracle Park	oracle park	0	0			0.51	prior	yes
Robot	robot	0	0			0.51	prior	no
Trade / Trades / Traded	trade|traded	0	0			0.51	prior	yes