# FIFA World Cup (fifa-world-cup) · game 2026-06-26 · 30 words · K k:KXWCMENTION-26JUN26CPVKSA · as_of 2026-10-26T18:13:04Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-06-26 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXWCMENTION-26JUN26CPVKSA ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Cape Verde vs Saudi Arabia , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Visa	visa	60	58	0.97	YnYYYYYYYY	0.94	hist	yes
Captain	captain	60	55	0.92	YYYYYYYYYY	0.88	hist	yes
Turf / Pitch	pitch|turf	33	29	0.88	YnYYYYYYYY	0.82	hist	yes
Comeback / Come Back	come back|comeback	60	49	0.82	YYYnYnYnYn	0.81	hist	yes
Equalizer	equalizer	6	4	0.67	YYYYnn	0.72	hist	no
Own Goal	own goal	33	24	0.73	YYnYYnYYYn	0.7	hist	no
Record	record	61	43	0.7	YYnnYYYnYY	0.66	hist	no
Messi	messi	60	38	0.63	YYYYnYYnYn	0.62	hist	no
Champion	champion	60	37	0.62	YnnYnnYnYn	0.61	hist	yes
Handball	handball	60	34	0.57	YYYnYnnnYn	0.54	hist	yes
Qatar	qatar	60	33	0.55	nnnnnnYYYn	0.52	hist	no
Hattrick / Hat Trick	hat trick|hattrick	60	29	0.48	nYnYnnnnnn	0.5	hist	no
VAR	var	6	3	0.5	YYnnYn	0.48	hist	yes
Ronaldo	ronaldo	61	25	0.41	YYYnnnYnnn	0.43	hist	no
Soccer	soccer	34	14	0.41	YnnYnnYYnn	0.42	hist	no
Crossbar	crossbar	60	24	0.4	YYnnnYYnnY	0.4	hist	no
Bicycle	bicycle	6	1	0.17	nnnYnn	0.35	hist	no
Penalty Kick	penalty kick	6	1	0.17	nYnnnn	0.35	hist	no
Red Card	red card	35	11	0.31	nYYYnnnnYn	0.32	hist	no
Lenovo	lenovo	7	1	0.14	Ynnnnnn	0.3	hist	no
What a Save	what a save	60	15	0.25	YnnnnnYnnn	0.28	hist	yes
Nutmeg / Meg	meg|nutmeg	60	15	0.25	nYnnnnYnYn	0.26	hist	yes
Golden Boot	golden boot	48	13	0.27	nYnnnYnnYn	0.22	hist	no
Gianni / Infantino	gianni|infantino	33	6	0.18	nnnnYnnnnn	0.22	hist	no
Maradona / Pelé	maradona|pele	6	0	0	nnnnnn	0.21	hist	no
NRG Stadium	nrg stadium	4	0	0	nnnn	0.21	hist	no
Shutout	shutout	60	8	0.13	nnnnYnnnnn	0.16	hist	no
Powerade	powerade	60	4	0.07	nnnnnnnnnn	0.09	hist	no
Trump	trump	60	3	0.05	nYnnnnnnnn	0.07	hist	no
Texans	texan	0	0			0.47	prior	no