# FIFA World Cup (fifa-world-cup) · game 2026-06-26 · 29 words · K k:KXWCMENTION-26JUN26SENIRQ · as_of 2026-10-27T19:48:36Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-06-26 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXWCMENTION-26JUN26SENIRQ ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Senegal vs Iraq , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Visa	visa	60	58	0.97	YnYYYYYYYY	0.94	yes
Captain	captain	60	55	0.92	YYYYYYYYYY	0.88	no
Turf / Pitch	pitch|turf	33	29	0.88	YnYYYYYYYY	0.82	yes
Comeback / Come Back	come back|comeback	60	49	0.82	YYYnYnYnYn	0.81	yes
Equalizer	equalizer	6	4	0.67	YYYYnn	0.72	yes
Own Goal	own goal	33	24	0.73	YYnYYnYYYn	0.7	yes
Record	record	61	43	0.7	YYnnYYYnYY	0.66	no
Messi	messi	60	38	0.63	YYYYnYYnYn	0.62	no
Champion	champion	60	37	0.62	YnnYnnYnYn	0.61	no
Handball	handball	60	34	0.57	YYYnYnnnYn	0.54	yes
Qatar	qatar	60	33	0.55	nnnnnnYYYn	0.52	no
Hattrick / Hat Trick	hat trick|hattrick	60	29	0.48	nYnYnnnnnn	0.5	yes
VAR	var	6	3	0.5	YYnnYn	0.48	yes
Ronaldo	ronaldo	61	25	0.41	YYYnnnYnnn	0.43	no
Soccer	soccer	34	14	0.41	YnnYnnYYnn	0.42	no
Crossbar	crossbar	60	24	0.4	YYnnnYYnnY	0.4	no
Bicycle	bicycle	6	1	0.17	nnnYnn	0.35	no
Penalty Kick	penalty kick	6	1	0.17	nYnnnn	0.35	no
Red Card	red card	35	11	0.31	nYYYnnnnYn	0.32	yes
Lenovo	lenovo	7	1	0.14	Ynnnnnn	0.3	no
What a Save	what a save	60	15	0.25	YnnnnnYnnn	0.28	no
Nutmeg / Meg	meg|nutmeg	60	15	0.25	nYnnnnYnYn	0.26	no
Golden Boot	golden boot	48	13	0.27	nYnnnYnnYn	0.22	no
Gianni / Infantino	gianni|infantino	33	6	0.18	nnnnYnnnnn	0.22	no
Maradona / Pelé	maradona|pele	6	0	0	nnnnnn	0.21	no
BMO Field	bmo field	4	0	0	nnnn	0.21	no
Shutout	shutout	60	8	0.13	nnnnYnnnnn	0.16	no
Powerade	powerade	60	4	0.07	nnnnnnnnnn	0.09	no
Trump	trump	60	3	0.05	nYnnnnnnnn	0.07	no