# FIFA World Cup (fifa-world-cup) · game 2026-06-25 · 30 words · K k:KXWCMENTION-26JUN25CUWCIV · as_of 2026-10-25T18:42:43Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-06-25 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXWCMENTION-26JUN25CUWCIV ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Curacao vs Ivory Coast , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Visa	visa	54	52	0.96	YYYYYYYnYY	0.94	hist	yes
Captain	captain	54	49	0.91	YnYYYYYYYY	0.87	hist	yes
Comeback / Come Back	come back|comeback	54	46	0.85	YYnnYnYYYn	0.81	hist	no
Turf / Pitch	pitch|turf	27	23	0.85	YYYYYYYnYY	0.8	hist	yes
Own Goal	own goal	27	20	0.74	YYYnYnYYnY	0.7	hist	yes
Record	record	55	38	0.69	YYYYYnYYnn	0.66	hist	yes
Messi	messi	54	35	0.65	YnnYYnYYYY	0.63	hist	no
Champion	champion	54	34	0.63	YnnYnnYnnn	0.63	hist	no
Lenovo	lenovo	1	1	1	Y	0.59	hist	no
Handball	handball	54	32	0.59	YnYnYnYYYn	0.57	hist	yes
Qatar	qatar	54	30	0.56	YnnYYYnnnn	0.54	hist	no
Hattrick / Hat Trick	hat trick|hattrick	54	28	0.52	YnnnYnnYnn	0.52	hist	yes
Ronaldo	ronaldo	55	24	0.44	YnYYnnYYYn	0.44	hist	no
Soccer	soccer	28	12	0.43	nnnnnYYnnY	0.43	hist	no
Crossbar	crossbar	54	21	0.39	YnnYnnYYnn	0.4	hist	no
Red Card	red card	29	10	0.34	nnnnYYnYYY	0.36	hist	no
What a Save	what a save	54	14	0.26	YYnYnnYnnn	0.28	hist	no
Nutmeg / Meg	meg|nutmeg	54	13	0.24	YYnYnnnYnn	0.27	hist	no
Lincoln Financial Field	lincoln financial field	3	0	0	nnn	0.25	hist	no
Golden Boot	golden boot	42	11	0.26	nYYnYnnYnn	0.22	hist	no
Gianni / Infantino	gianni|infantino	27	5	0.19	nYnnnnnnnn	0.22	hist	yes
Shutout	shutout	54	7	0.13	nYnnnnnnnn	0.16	hist	yes
Powerade	powerade	54	4	0.07	nnnnnnnnnn	0.09	hist	no
Trump	trump	54	3	0.06	nnnnnnnYnn	0.08	hist	no
Bicycle	bicycle	0	0			0.48	prior	no
Eagles	eagle	0	0			0.48	prior	no
Equalizer	equalizer	0	0			0.48	prior	yes
Maradona / Pelé	maradona|pele	0	0			0.48	prior	no
Penalty Kick	penalty kick	0	0			0.48	prior	no
VAR	var	0	0			0.48	prior	yes