# FIFA World Cup (fifa-world-cup) · game 2026-06-21 · 27 words · K k:KXWCMENTION-26JUN21BELIRI · as_of 2026-10-26T01:00:06Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-06-21 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXWCMENTION-26JUN21BELIRI ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Belgium vs IR Iran , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Header	header	35	34	0.97	YYYYYYYYYY	0.94	yes
Visa	visa	35	34	0.97	YYYYYYYYYY	0.94	yes
Comeback / Come Back	come back|comeback	35	32	0.91	YYnYYYnYYY	0.87	yes
Captain	captain	35	31	0.89	YYYYYnnYYY	0.84	yes
History	history	35	28	0.8	nYYYYYYYYn	0.78	yes
Turf / Pitch	pitch|turf	8	7	0.88	YYYYYYYn	0.75	yes
Assist	assist	35	25	0.71	nnnYYYYYYn	0.7	no
Momentum	momentum	8	6	0.75	nYYnYYYY	0.66	yes
Record	record	36	25	0.69	nnnYYYYYYY	0.65	no
Champion	champion	35	24	0.69	YnYnYnnYYY	0.65	yes
Handball	handball	35	21	0.6	nYYYYYnYnY	0.58	yes
Own Goal	own goal	8	5	0.62	YYYYnnnY	0.57	yes
Qatar	qatar	35	21	0.6	YYYYnnnYnY	0.55	yes
Messi	messi	35	20	0.57	nYYnnYYYnY	0.55	no
Soccer	soccer	9	5	0.56	YnYnYnnYY	0.52	no
Hattrick / Hat Trick	hat trick|hattrick	35	18	0.51	nYYnnYnYYn	0.51	no
Ronaldo	ronaldo	36	14	0.39	nnYnYnnnYn	0.4	no
Crossbar	crossbar	35	12	0.34	nYnnYYYYnn	0.37	no
Red Card	red card	10	3	0.3	YnnnYnYnnn	0.35	yes
What a Save	what a save	35	7	0.2	nYYnnnnnYn	0.24	no
SoFi Stadium	sofi stadium	3	0	0	nnn	0.24	no
Nutmeg / Meg	meg|nutmeg	35	7	0.2	nnYYnnnnnn	0.22	no
Penalty Shootout	penalty shootout	35	6	0.17	nnnnnnnnnn	0.19	no
Shutout	shutout	35	5	0.14	nnnYnnnnnn	0.17	no
Powerade	powerade	35	4	0.11	nnnnnnnnnn	0.15	no
Gianni / Infantino	gianni|infantino	8	0	0	nnnnnnnn	0.12	no
Trump	trump	35	1	0.03	nnnnnnnnnn	0.05	no