# FIFA World Cup (fifa-world-cup) · game 2026-06-16 · 24 words · K k:KXWCMENTION-26JUN16FRASEN · as_of 2026-10-27T06:45:02Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-06-16 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXWCMENTION-26JUN16FRASEN ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of France vs Senegal FIFA World Cup Match, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Header	header	16	16	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.92	yes
Visa	visa	16	16	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.92	yes
Captain	captain	16	15	0.94	YYnYYYYYYY	0.86	no
Comeback / Come Back	come back|comeback	16	15	0.94	YYYYYYYnYY	0.86	yes
Champion	champion	16	13	0.81	YnYYYYYYYn	0.79	yes
History	history	16	12	0.75	nnYYnYYYYY	0.69	yes
Assist	assist	16	11	0.69	YnnYnYYnYY	0.64	yes
Qatar	qatar	16	9	0.56	nYnYnnnYYY	0.54	no
Record	record	17	9	0.53	YnYYYnYYnn	0.54	yes
Handball	handball	16	8	0.5	YYnnYYYnYn	0.48	no
Messi	messi	16	6	0.38	nnnnYnYnYY	0.37	yes
Crossbar	crossbar	16	5	0.31	nnYnYnYnYn	0.33	no
Hattrick / Hat Trick	hat trick|hattrick	16	5	0.31	nnnYnnnnnY	0.33	yes
MetLife Stadium	metlife stadium	1	0	0	n	0.33	no
Ronaldo	ronaldo	17	5	0.29	nnnnnnnnYY	0.32	yes
Nutmeg / Meg	meg|nutmeg	16	4	0.25	nnnnnnYnnn	0.28	no
Powerade	powerade	16	4	0.25	nnnnnnYnnn	0.28	no
Penalty Shootout	penalty shootout	16	3	0.19	nnnnnnnnnn	0.23	no
What a Save	what a save	16	3	0.19	nnYYnnnnnn	0.22	no
Shutout	shutout	16	2	0.12	nnnnYnnnnn	0.18	no
Golden Boot	golden boot	16	1	0.06	nnnnnnnnnY	0.12	no
Adidas	adida	16	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.06	no
Trump	trump	16	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.06	no
Verizon	verizon	16	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	0.06	no