# College football (college-football) · game 2026-01-09 · 18 words · K k:KXNCAAMENTION-26JAN09OREIND · as_of 2026-10-27T09:11:21Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-01-09 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNCAAMENTION-26JAN09OREIND ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Oregon at Indiana college football game originally scheduled for Jan 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Freshman	freshman	30	30	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.96	yes
Safety	safety	32	31	0.97	YYYYYYYYYY	0.93	yes
Transfer	transfer	30	27	0.9	YYYYYYYYYY	0.85	yes
Turf	turf	32	21	0.66	YYnYnYYYYY	0.62	yes
Mercedes-Benz	mercedes benz	1	1	1	Y	0.6	yes
Draft	draft	30	18	0.6	YnYnnnYYYn	0.59	yes
Recruit / Recruitment	recruit|recruitment	29	17	0.59	nnYYYYYYYn	0.58	yes
Wind / Windy	wind|windy	30	18	0.6	nYnnYnYYnY	0.56	yes
Heisman	heisman	30	17	0.57	nnYYYYYnnn	0.56	yes
Schedule	schedule	30	17	0.57	nnnYnYYYYY	0.53	no
Wild	wild	30	14	0.47	nnYnnYYYYY	0.44	yes
No Good	no good	23	8	0.35	YYnnnnnnnn	0.38	no
What a Catch	what a catch	32	11	0.34	YnnnnnnYYn	0.37	no
One Handed	one handed	31	7	0.23	nnnnnnnnnY	0.23	no
Late Hit	late hit	32	7	0.22	nnnnnYnnnY	0.23	no
Superbowl / Super Bowl	super bowl|superbowl	27	5	0.19	YYnnnnnnnn	0.23	no
Roughing the Passer	roughing the passer	32	4	0.12	nnnnnnnnYn	0.16	no
Tush Push	tush push	28	3	0.11	nnnnnnnnnn	0.15	no