# College football (college-football) · game 2026-01-02 · 17 words · K k:KXNCAAMENTION-26JAN02RICETXST · as_of 2026-10-26T14:55:15Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-01-02 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNCAAMENTION-26JAN02RICETXST ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Rice at Texas St. college football game originally scheduled for Jan 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Freshman	freshman	25	25	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.96	yes
Safety	safety	27	26	0.96	YYYYYYYYYY	0.91	yes
Transfer	transfer	25	22	0.88	YnYYYYYYYY	0.82	yes
Draft	draft	25	15	0.6	YnYYYYnYnn	0.6	no
Turf	turf	27	16	0.59	YYYYnYYnYn	0.59	yes
Heisman	heisman	25	15	0.6	nnYYYnnYYY	0.56	yes
Wind / Windy	wind|windy	25	15	0.6	YYYYYnYnnY	0.56	no
Recruit / Recruitment	recruit|recruitment	24	13	0.54	YYnnYnnYYY	0.51	yes
Schedule	schedule	25	12	0.48	YYnnnnnnYn	0.49	yes
No Good	no good	18	8	0.44	nnnYnYYnnn	0.47	no
Wild	wild	25	9	0.36	nnnnnnnYnn	0.38	yes
What a Catch	what a catch	27	9	0.33	nYnnnYnnnn	0.36	no
One Handed	one handed	26	6	0.23	nYnnnnnnnn	0.27	no
Superbowl / Super Bowl	super bowl|superbowl	22	5	0.23	nnYnnYYnnn	0.27	no
Late Hit	late hit	27	5	0.19	nYnnnnnnnn	0.23	yes
Tush Push	tush push	23	3	0.13	nnnnnnnnnn	0.18	no
Roughing the Passer	roughing the passer	27	3	0.11	nnnnYnnnnn	0.15	no