# College football (college-football) · game 2026-01-02 · 18 words · K k:KXNCAAMENTION-26JAN02NAVYCIN · as_of 2026-10-26T13:45:03Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-01-02 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNCAAMENTION-26JAN02NAVYCIN ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Navy at Cincinnati college football game originally scheduled for Jan 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Freshman	freshman	25	25	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.96	hist	yes
Safety	safety	27	26	0.96	YYYYYYYYYY	0.91	hist	yes
Transfer	transfer	25	22	0.88	YnYYYYYYYY	0.82	hist	yes
Draft	draft	25	15	0.6	YnYYYYnYnn	0.6	hist	yes
Turf	turf	27	16	0.59	YYYYnYYnYn	0.59	hist	yes
Heisman	heisman	25	15	0.6	nnYYYnnYYY	0.56	hist	yes
Wind / Windy	wind|windy	25	15	0.6	YYYYYnYnnY	0.56	hist	yes
Recruit / Recruitment	recruit|recruitment	24	13	0.54	YYnnYnnYYY	0.51	hist	yes
Schedule	schedule	25	12	0.48	YYnnnnnnYn	0.49	hist	yes
No Good	no good	18	8	0.44	nnnYnYYnnn	0.47	hist	no
Wild	wild	25	9	0.36	nnnnnnnYnn	0.38	hist	yes
What a Catch	what a catch	27	9	0.33	nYnnnYnnnn	0.36	hist	no
One Handed	one handed	26	6	0.23	nYnnnnnnnn	0.27	hist	no
Superbowl / Super Bowl	super bowl|superbowl	22	5	0.23	nnYnnYYnnn	0.27	hist	no
Late Hit	late hit	27	5	0.19	nYnnnnnnnn	0.23	hist	no
Tush Push	tush push	23	3	0.13	nnnnnnnnnn	0.18	hist	no
Roughing the Passer	roughing the passer	27	3	0.11	nnnnYnnnnn	0.15	hist	no
Simmons Bank	simmons bank	0	0			0.49	prior	no