# College football (college-football) · game 2026-01-01 · 19 words · K k:KXNCAAMENTION-26JAN01ALAIND · as_of 2026-10-26T13:45:03Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-01-01 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNCAAMENTION-26JAN01ALAIND ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Alabama at Indiana college football game originally scheduled for Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Freshman	freshman	22	22	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.95	hist	yes
Safety	safety	24	23	0.96	YnYYYYYYYY	0.9	hist	yes
Transfer	transfer	22	19	0.86	YYYYnYYYYY	0.8	hist	yes
Draft	draft	22	14	0.64	YnYYnYYYYn	0.63	hist	no
Wind / Windy	wind|windy	22	14	0.64	nnnYYYYYnY	0.59	hist	no
Turf	turf	24	15	0.62	nYYYYYYnYY	0.58	hist	yes
Heisman	heisman	22	12	0.55	YnnnnYYYnn	0.54	hist	yes
Schedule	schedule	22	11	0.5	YnnYYnnnnn	0.51	hist	yes
No Good	no good	15	8	0.53	YYYnnnYnYY	0.49	hist	no
Recruit / Recruitment	recruit|recruitment	21	10	0.48	YnYYYnnYnn	0.49	hist	yes
What a Catch	what a catch	24	9	0.38	YYnnYnnnYn	0.4	hist	no
Wild	wild	22	8	0.36	YnYnnnnnnn	0.39	hist	no
One Handed	one handed	23	6	0.26	YYnnYnnnnn	0.3	hist	no
Superbowl / Super Bowl	super bowl|superbowl	19	5	0.26	YnnnnYnnYY	0.26	hist	no
Late Hit	late hit	24	5	0.21	nnnnYnnnnn	0.25	hist	no
Tush Push	tush push	20	3	0.15	nnnnnnnnnn	0.2	hist	no
Roughing the Passer	roughing the passer	24	3	0.12	nnYnnnnYnn	0.17	hist	no
Hollywood	hollywood	0	0			0.5	prior	no
Southern California	southern california	0	0			0.5	prior	no