# College football (college-football) · game 2025-12-30 · 18 words · K k:KXNCAAMENTION-25DEC30USCTCU · as_of 2026-10-26T14:55:15Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2025-12-30 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNCAAMENTION-25DEC30USCTCU ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of USC at TCU college football game originally scheduled for Dec 30, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Freshman	freshman	14	14	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.92	hist	yes
Safety	safety	16	15	0.94	YYYYYYYYYn	0.86	hist	yes
Transfer	transfer	14	12	0.86	YnYYYYYYYY	0.79	hist	no
Heisman	heisman	14	9	0.64	YnYYYnnnYn	0.6	hist	no
Schedule	schedule	14	9	0.64	YnnYYYYnYn	0.6	hist	yes
Draft	draft	14	8	0.57	nYYYYYnYYn	0.55	hist	no
Wind / Windy	wind|windy	14	8	0.57	YYYnYYnYnn	0.55	hist	yes
No Good	no good	7	4	0.57	YnYnnYY	0.54	hist	no
Turf	turf	16	8	0.5	nYYYYnnnnY	0.49	hist	yes
Wild	wild	14	7	0.5	nnnYnnYYYn	0.49	hist	no
Recruit / Recruitment	recruit|recruitment	13	6	0.46	YnYnYYYnYn	0.47	hist	yes
What a Catch	what a catch	16	7	0.44	YYYnnnYnYY	0.45	hist	yes
One Handed	one handed	15	5	0.33	nnYnYnnnYY	0.36	hist	yes
Tush Push	tush push	12	3	0.25	nYnnYnnYnn	0.3	hist	no
Late Hit	late hit	16	4	0.25	nYYnYnnnnn	0.29	hist	yes
Superbowl / Super Bowl	super bowl|superbowl	11	2	0.18	nnnnYnnnYn	0.25	hist	no
Roughing the Passer	roughing the passer	16	1	0.06	nnnnnnnnnn	0.13	hist	no
Caleb Williams	caleb william	0	0			0.51	prior	no