# College football (college-football) · game 2025-12-27 · 19 words · K k:KXNCAAMENTION-25DEC27LSUHOU · as_of 2026-10-26T09:50:36Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2025-12-27 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNCAAMENTION-25DEC27LSUHOU ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of LSU at Houston college football game originally scheduled for Dec 27, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Safety	safety	11	11	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.88	hist	yes
Freshman	freshman	9	9	1	YYYYYYYYY	0.86	hist	yes
Heisman	heisman	9	8	0.89	YYYYYnYYY	0.76	hist	yes
Transfer	transfer	9	7	0.78	YYnYYnYYY	0.67	hist	yes
No Good	no good	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.61	hist	yes
Schedule	schedule	9	6	0.67	YYnYYnnYY	0.58	hist	yes
Wind / Windy	wind|windy	9	6	0.67	YnnYYYYnY	0.58	hist	no
Turf	turf	11	7	0.64	nnYnYnYYYY	0.57	hist	no
Draft	draft	9	5	0.56	nYnnnYYYY	0.5	hist	yes
Wild	wild	9	4	0.44	YYnYnnnYn	0.49	hist	yes
What a Catch	what a catch	11	4	0.36	nnYnnYYYnn	0.43	hist	yes
Ole Miss	ole miss	1	0	0	n	0.4	hist	yes
Recruit / Recruitment	recruit|recruitment	8	3	0.38	nnnYnYnY	0.35	hist	yes
Late Hit	late hit	11	4	0.36	nnnnYnYYnY	0.35	hist	no
One Handed	one handed	10	3	0.3	nnnYnnnYnY	0.3	hist	yes
Tush Push	tush push	7	2	0.29	nnnYnnY	0.28	hist	no
Superbowl / Super Bowl	super bowl|superbowl	6	1	0.17	nnnnnY	0.2	hist	yes
Roughing the Passer	roughing the passer	11	1	0.09	Ynnnnnnnnn	0.19	hist	no
NRG	nrg	0	0			0.51	prior	yes