# College football (college-football) · game 2025-12-26 · 18 words · K k:KXNCAAMENTION-25DEC26FIUUTSA · as_of 2026-10-26T09:50:36Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2025-12-26 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNCAAMENTION-25DEC26FIUUTSA ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Florida International at UTSA college football game originally scheduled for Dec 26, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Safety	safety	9	9	1	YYYYYYYYY	0.87	hist	yes
Freshman	freshman	7	7	1	YYYYYYY	0.84	hist	yes
Heisman	heisman	7	6	0.86	YYYYYnY	0.73	hist	yes
Wind / Windy	wind|windy	7	5	0.71	YnnYYYY	0.64	hist	yes
Transfer	transfer	7	5	0.71	YYnYYnY	0.63	hist	yes
Schedule	schedule	7	4	0.57	YYnYYnn	0.54	hist	yes
Turf	turf	9	5	0.56	YnnYnYnYY	0.53	hist	yes
What a Catch	what a catch	9	4	0.44	nnnYnnYYY	0.46	hist	no
Draft	draft	7	3	0.43	nYnnnYY	0.45	hist	yes
Wild	wild	7	3	0.43	YYnYnnn	0.44	hist	no
Recruit / Recruitment	recruit|recruitment	6	2	0.33	nnnYnY	0.39	hist	yes
Late Hit	late hit	9	3	0.33	nnnnnYnYY	0.38	hist	yes
One Handed	one handed	8	2	0.25	nnnYnnnY	0.32	hist	yes
Tush Push	tush push	5	1	0.2	nnnYn	0.32	hist	yes
Superbowl / Super Bowl	super bowl|superbowl	4	0	0	nnnn	0.23	hist	yes
Roughing the Passer	roughing the passer	9	1	0.11	nYnnnnnnn	0.21	hist	no
Jerry Jones	jerry jone	0	0			0.5	prior	no
No Good	no good	0	0			0.5	prior	no