# College football (college-football) · game 2025-12-24 · 19 words · K k:KXNCAAMENTION-25DEC24CALHAW · as_of 2026-10-26T14:55:15Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2025-12-24 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNCAAMENTION-25DEC24CALHAW ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of California at Hawai'i college football game originally scheduled for Dec 24, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Safety	safety	8	8	1	YYYYYYYY	0.81	hist	yes
Freshman	freshman	6	6	1	YYYYYY	0.76	hist	yes
Heisman	heisman	6	5	0.83	YYYYYn	0.76	hist	yes
No Good / Missed	missed|no good	4	4	1	YYYY	0.67	hist	yes
Schedule	schedule	6	4	0.67	YYnYYn	0.62	hist	no
Transfer	transfer	6	4	0.67	YYnYYn	0.62	hist	yes
Wild	wild	6	3	0.5	YYnYnn	0.61	hist	no
Wind / Windy	wind|windy	6	4	0.67	YnnYYY	0.49	hist	yes
Turf	turf	8	4	0.5	YnnYnYnY	0.49	hist	yes
Draft	draft	6	2	0.33	nYnnnY	0.35	hist	yes
One Handed	one handed	7	1	0.14	nnnYnnn	0.32	hist	yes
Tush Push	tush push	4	1	0.25	nnnY	0.31	hist	no
Late Hit	late hit	8	2	0.25	nnnnnYnY	0.29	hist	yes
What a Catch	what a catch	8	3	0.38	nnnYnnYY	0.28	hist	yes
Roughing the Passer	roughing the passer	8	1	0.12	nYnnnnnn	0.28	hist	no
Recruit / Recruitment	recruit|recruitment	5	1	0.2	nnnYn	0.26	hist	yes
Aloha	aloha	0	0			0.48	prior	yes
Island	island	0	0			0.48	prior	yes
Pro Bowl / Pro Bowler	pro bowl|pro bowler	0	0			0.48	prior	no