# College football (college-football) · game 2025-12-13 · 21 words · K k:KXNCAAMENTION-25DEC13ARMYNAVY · as_of 2026-10-26T09:50:36Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2025-12-13 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNCAAMENTION-25DEC13ARMYNAVY ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Army at Navy college football game originally scheduled for Dec 13, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Safety	safety	4	4	1	YYYY	0.76	hist	yes
Freshman	freshman	2	2	1	YY	0.67	hist	yes
Heisman	heisman	2	2	1	YY	0.67	hist	yes
Schedule	schedule	2	2	1	YY	0.67	hist	no
Transfer	transfer	2	2	1	YY	0.67	hist	no
Wild	wild	2	2	1	YY	0.66	hist	no
Turf	turf	4	2	0.5	YnnY	0.49	hist	no
Draft	draft	2	1	0.5	nY	0.49	hist	no
Wind / Windy	wind|windy	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.49	hist	no
Concussion	concussion	1	0	0	n	0.38	hist	no
Recruit / Recruitment	recruit|recruitment	1	0	0	n	0.38	hist	no
What a Catch	what a catch	4	1	0.25	nnnY	0.36	hist	no
Roughing the Passer	roughing the passer	4	1	0.25	nYnn	0.35	hist	no
One Handed	one handed	3	0	0	nnn	0.26	hist	yes
Late Hit	late hit	4	0	0	nnnn	0.22	hist	no
Commander in chief	commander in chief	0	0			0.48	prior	yes
No Good / Missed	missed|no good	0	0			0.48	prior	yes
Patriot	patriot	0	0			0.48	prior	yes
Superbowl / Super Bowl	super bowl|superbowl	0	0			0.48	prior	no
Trump	trump	0	0			0.48	prior	yes
Tush Push	tush push	0	0			0.48	prior	no