# College basketball (college-basketball) · game 2026-03-28 · 15 words · K k:KXNCAABMENTION-26MAR28IOWAILL · as_of 2026-10-27T09:54:12Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-03-28 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNCAABMENTION-26MAR28IOWAILL ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Iowa vs Illinois College Basketball Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Transfer / Transferred	transfer|transferred	119	98	0.82	YYYYnYYYYn	0.8	yes
Record	record	119	73	0.61	YYnYYYYYnn	0.6	yes
Airball / Airballed	airball|airballed	106	64	0.6	YnnYnnnYYY	0.57	no
Elbow	elbow	119	70	0.59	YYYYnYnYnn	0.57	no
All American / All America	all america|all american	86	48	0.56	nnYYYYnYYn	0.54	yes
Buzzer	buzzer	34	19	0.56	nYnnnYYYYn	0.53	yes
Recruit / Recruited / Recruitment	recruit|recruited|recruitment	119	58	0.49	YnnnYnnYYY	0.47	yes
Ankle	ankle	119	57	0.48	nnnYYnYnYn	0.47	no
Double Double	double double	118	54	0.46	YnYYYnnYnn	0.45	yes
Schedule	schedule	119	54	0.45	nnYnnYnnnn	0.45	no
Overtime	overtime	116	52	0.45	nnnYnYnnYn	0.45	no
Draft / Drafted	draft|drafted	86	35	0.41	YnnYnnnnnn	0.42	yes
Alley-oop	alley oop	119	28	0.24	Ynnnnnnnnn	0.26	no
NIL	nil	119	17	0.14	nnnnnnnnnn	0.17	yes
Walk On	walk on	119	16	0.13	nnnnYnnnnn	0.16	no