# College basketball (college-basketball) · game 2026-03-27 · 15 words · K k:KXNCAABMENTION-26MAR28MSUCONN · as_of 2026-10-26T14:23:22Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-03-27 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNCAABMENTION-26MAR28MSUCONN ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Michigan St. vs UConn College Basketball Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Transfer / Transferred	transfer|transferred	116	96	0.83	YYYYYYYnYY	0.8	yes
Record	record	116	72	0.62	nYYYYnYYYY	0.6	no
Elbow	elbow	116	69	0.59	nYYYYYYnYn	0.57	no
Airball / Airballed	airball|airballed	103	61	0.59	YnnYnnYnnn	0.57	yes
All American / All America	all america|all american	83	46	0.55	YYYnnYYYYn	0.54	yes
Buzzer	buzzer	31	17	0.55	YYnnYnnnYY	0.53	no
Ankle	ankle	116	56	0.48	YnnnnnYYnY	0.47	yes
Recruit / Recruited / Recruitment	recruit|recruited|recruitment	116	55	0.47	nYYYnnnYnn	0.47	yes
Schedule	schedule	116	54	0.47	nnnnnYnnYn	0.45	no
Double Double	double double	115	53	0.46	nnYYnYYYnn	0.45	no
Overtime	overtime	113	51	0.45	nnYnnnYnYn	0.45	no
Draft / Drafted	draft|drafted	83	35	0.42	nnnYnnYnnn	0.42	no
Alley-oop	alley oop	116	28	0.24	nnYYnnnnnn	0.26	no
NIL	nil	116	17	0.15	nnnnnnnnnn	0.17	no
Walk On	walk on	116	16	0.14	nnnnnnnYnn	0.16	no