# College basketball (college-basketball) · game 2026-03-26 · 15 words · K k:KXNCAABMENTION-26MAR26ILLHOU · as_of 2026-10-26T12:28:24Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-03-26 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNCAABMENTION-26MAR26ILLHOU ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Illinois vs Houston College Basketball Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Transfer / Transferred	transfer|transferred	112	93	0.83	nYYYYYYYYY	0.8	no
Record	record	112	68	0.61	YYYnnYYYYn	0.59	yes
Airball / Airballed	airball|airballed	99	60	0.61	nnYYYnnYnn	0.59	no
Elbow	elbow	112	67	0.6	nnnYnYYYYY	0.57	no
Buzzer	buzzer	27	15	0.56	nYYYYYnnYn	0.55	no
All American / All America	all america|all american	79	43	0.54	YYYnYYYnnY	0.52	yes
Recruit / Recruited / Recruitment	recruit|recruited|recruitment	112	54	0.48	YYYnnYYYnn	0.48	yes
Ankle	ankle	112	53	0.47	YYYYYnnnnn	0.47	yes
Schedule	schedule	112	53	0.47	nYnYnnnnnY	0.45	no
Double Double	double double	111	51	0.46	nYnnnnYYnY	0.45	yes
Overtime	overtime	109	49	0.45	nnnYnnYnnn	0.45	no
Draft / Drafted	draft|drafted	79	34	0.43	nnYnnnnYnn	0.43	no
Alley-oop	alley oop	112	28	0.25	nnnYnnYYnn	0.27	no
NIL	nil	112	17	0.15	nnnnnnnnnn	0.17	no
Walk On	walk on	112	15	0.13	nnnnnnnnnn	0.16	no