# College basketball (college-basketball) · game 2026-03-21 · 15 words · K k:KXNCAABMENTION-26MAR21VCUILL · as_of 2026-10-27T07:21:26Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-03-21 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNCAABMENTION-26MAR21VCUILL ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of VCU vs Illinois College Basketball Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Transfer / Transferred	transfer|transferred	96	78	0.81	YYYYYYYYYY	0.78	yes
Airball / Airballed	airball|airballed	83	52	0.63	nnYYnYnYnn	0.61	yes
Elbow	elbow	96	58	0.6	YYYnnYnYnn	0.59	no
Record	record	96	56	0.58	YnnnYnYYYY	0.56	yes
Buzzer	buzzer	11	6	0.55	nYnYnYYYYn	0.52	no
All American / All America	all america|all american	63	33	0.52	nnnYnYYnYn	0.51	yes
Overtime	overtime	93	46	0.49	nnnYYYnYnn	0.5	yes
Schedule	schedule	96	50	0.52	YYnnnnnnYY	0.49	no
Draft / Drafted	draft|drafted	63	30	0.48	nnYnnnnnnY	0.47	no
Recruit / Recruited / Recruitment	recruit|recruited|recruitment	96	46	0.48	YnnnnnnYYY	0.46	yes
Double Double	double double	95	45	0.47	nYnnYnnnYn	0.46	no
Ankle	ankle	96	44	0.46	YnnnYnYnYn	0.45	yes
Alley-oop	alley oop	96	25	0.26	nnYnnnnYnn	0.28	no
NIL	nil	96	17	0.18	nnnnnnnnnn	0.2	no
Walk On	walk on	96	14	0.15	nnnnnnnnnn	0.17	no