# College basketball (college-basketball) · game 2026-03-17 · 16 words · K k:KXNCAABMENTION-26MAR17UMBCHOW · as_of 2026-10-27T00:57:33Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-03-17 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNCAABMENTION-26MAR17UMBCHOW ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of UMBC at Howard men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Transfer / Transferred	transfer|transferred	83	67	0.81	YYYnYYYYYY	0.77	hist	no
Airball / Airballs / Airballed	airball|airballed	70	46	0.66	YnYnnYYYYn	0.63	hist	yes
Elbow	elbow	83	52	0.63	YYYnYnnYYY	0.6	hist	no
Record	record	83	48	0.58	YnYnYYYnYY	0.56	hist	no
All American / All America	all america|all american	50	28	0.56	YYYnnYnnnn	0.54	hist	no
Schedule	schedule	83	45	0.54	nnnnYnnnnn	0.52	hist	no
Draft / Drafted	draft|drafted	50	27	0.54	nYYYYnnnYY	0.52	hist	no
Overtime	overtime	80	40	0.5	YnYnnYnYnn	0.5	hist	yes
Recruit / Recruited / Recruitment	recruit|recruited|recruitment	83	40	0.48	nYYnYYYnYY	0.47	hist	yes
Double Double	double double	82	39	0.48	nnYYYnnnnn	0.47	hist	yes
Ankle	ankle	83	39	0.47	YYYnnnnYYn	0.46	hist	yes
Alley-oop	alley oop	83	23	0.28	YYYnnYnnnn	0.29	hist	no
March Madness	march madness	83	16	0.19	nYnnnnYnnY	0.22	hist	yes
NIL	nil	83	16	0.19	nnnnnnnnnY	0.21	hist	no
Walk On	walk on	83	13	0.16	nnYnnYnnnn	0.18	hist	no
UD Arena	ud arena	0	0			0.47	prior	no