# College basketball (college-basketball) · game 2026-03-14 · 16 words · K k:KXNCAABMENTION-BIGEAST-26 · as_of 2026-10-26T17:35:02Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-03-14 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNCAABMENTION-BIGEAST-26 ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of 2026 Men's College Basketball Big East conference tournament champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Transfer / Transferred	transfer|transferred	78	62	0.79	YnnYYYYYnY	0.77	yes
Airball / Airballs / Airballed	airball|airballed	65	42	0.65	YYYnYYnYnn	0.64	yes
Elbow	elbow	78	49	0.63	YnYnYYYYnY	0.6	yes
All American / All America	all america|all american	44	27	0.61	nnYYnnYYYn	0.59	no
MSG / Madison Square Garden	madison square garden|msg	1	1	1	Y	0.58	yes
Schedule	schedule	78	45	0.58	nnnYYnnnnY	0.56	no
Record	record	78	44	0.56	YYnnnYnYnY	0.55	yes
Overtime	overtime	75	38	0.51	nYnYYYnYnn	0.52	no
Draft / Drafted	draft|drafted	44	24	0.55	nnYYYYnYYY	0.51	no
Double Double	double double	77	39	0.51	nnnYnnnYYY	0.48	no
Ankle	ankle	78	37	0.47	nnnYnYYYnn	0.48	yes
Recruit / Recruited / Recruitment	recruit|recruited|recruitment	78	36	0.46	YnnYnnYYnY	0.45	yes
Alley-oop	alley oop	78	22	0.28	YnnnnYYYnn	0.31	no
NIL	nil	78	15	0.19	nnnnnnnnnn	0.22	no
March Madness	march madness	78	14	0.18	YYnnnnYnnn	0.21	no
Walk On	walk on	78	12	0.15	nYnnnnnYnn	0.18	no