# College basketball (college-basketball) · game 2026-03-08 · 16 words · K k:KXNCAABMENTION-26MAR08MSUMICH · as_of 2026-10-27T08:33:10Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-03-08 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNCAABMENTION-26MAR08MSUMICH ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Michigan St. at Michigan men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Transfer / Transferred	transfer|transferred	68	55	0.81	YYYYYYYYYY	0.76	yes
Crisler Center	crisler center	2	2	1	YY	0.65	yes
Airball / Airballs / Airballed	airball|airballed	55	36	0.65	nnYnnnYYYn	0.62	yes
All American / All America	all america|all american	34	22	0.65	YYYnnYYnYY	0.61	no
Elbow	elbow	68	42	0.62	nYYYnnYnnY	0.6	yes
Schedule	schedule	68	42	0.62	YnnYnnYnYn	0.6	no
Record	record	68	39	0.57	nnYYYnnYYY	0.54	yes
Overtime	overtime	65	33	0.51	nYYYYYYnYn	0.51	no
Draft / Drafted	draft|drafted	34	17	0.5	YnnnYYYnnY	0.5	no
Double Double	double double	67	35	0.52	YYnYYnYYYY	0.49	no
Ankle	ankle	68	33	0.49	YnnnYYnYYn	0.47	no
Recruit / Recruited / Recruitment	recruit|recruited|recruitment	68	31	0.46	YnnYnnYnYY	0.44	yes
Alley-oop	alley oop	68	18	0.26	nnnnYYYYYn	0.26	yes
NIL	nil	68	15	0.22	nnnYYYYnnn	0.25	no
March Madness	march madness	68	11	0.16	YnnnYYnnYn	0.18	yes
Walk On	walk on	68	10	0.15	nYnnnYnnYn	0.16	no