# College basketball (college-basketball) · game 2026-03-07 · 16 words · K k:KXNCAABMENTION-26MAR07UNCDUKE · as_of 2026-10-26T13:14:32Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-03-07 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNCAABMENTION-26MAR07UNCDUKE ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of North Carolina at Duke men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Transfer / Transferred	transfer|transferred	62	49	0.79	nYYYYYYYYY	0.75	yes
Cameron Indoor	cameron indoor	3	3	1	YYY	0.7	yes
Airball / Airballs / Airballed	airball|airballed	49	33	0.67	nYYYYYnnYn	0.66	yes
All American / All America	all america|all american	28	18	0.64	nnYYnYYYYn	0.63	no
Elbow	elbow	62	40	0.65	nYYYYnnYYY	0.61	no
Schedule	schedule	62	40	0.65	nnYYYYYnnY	0.61	no
Record	record	62	35	0.56	YYYYnYnnYY	0.54	yes
Double Double	double double	61	30	0.49	nnYYYnYYnY	0.48	yes
Overtime	overtime	59	29	0.49	nnYnnYnYYY	0.48	no
Ankle	ankle	62	29	0.47	nYYYYnYnnn	0.47	yes
Draft / Drafted	draft|drafted	28	13	0.46	nYYnnYYnnn	0.47	no
Recruit / Recruited / Recruitment	recruit|recruited|recruitment	62	28	0.45	nYnnnnYnnY	0.44	no
Alley-oop	alley oop	62	13	0.21	nYnnnnnnnn	0.23	yes
NIL	nil	62	12	0.19	nnnnYYnnnY	0.2	no
March Madness	march madness	62	8	0.13	nnnYYnYnnn	0.16	no
Walk On	walk on	62	8	0.13	nnYnnnnYnn	0.16	no