# College basketball (college-basketball) · game 2026-03-02 · 16 words · K k:KXNCAABMENTION-26MAR02ISUARIZ · as_of 2026-10-26T19:25:25Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-03-02 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNCAABMENTION-26MAR02ISUARIZ ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Iowa St. at Arizona men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Transfer / Transferred	transfer|transferred	57	44	0.77	nYnYYnYYYY	0.74	hist	yes
Airball / Airballs / Airballed	airball|airballed	44	31	0.7	nYYYYnYYYY	0.67	hist	no
Elbow	elbow	57	37	0.65	nYnnYnYYYY	0.62	hist	no
Schedule	schedule	57	37	0.65	YnYYnnnYYY	0.62	hist	yes
All American / All America	all america|all american	23	14	0.61	YnYnnnnYYn	0.58	hist	yes
Record	record	57	32	0.56	YnYYnYYYYn	0.54	hist	no
Ankle	ankle	57	28	0.49	nYnYnnYYYY	0.48	hist	yes
Double Double	double double	56	27	0.48	YYYnYnnYYY	0.47	hist	yes
Draft / Drafted	draft|drafted	23	11	0.48	nnnnYnYYnn	0.47	hist	yes
Overtime	overtime	54	25	0.46	nYYnnnnYnn	0.46	hist	no
Recruit / Recruited / Recruitment	recruit|recruited|recruitment	57	26	0.46	YnYYYnYnnn	0.45	hist	yes
Alley-oop	alley oop	57	13	0.23	nnnnnnYnnn	0.25	hist	no
NIL	nil	57	10	0.18	YnnnnnnnnY	0.2	hist	no
March Madness	march madness	57	7	0.12	nnnnnnnnYY	0.15	hist	yes
Walk On	walk on	57	7	0.12	nnnnnnnYnn	0.15	hist	no
ALKEME	alkeme	0	0			0.46	prior	yes