# College basketball (college-basketball) · game 2026-02-26 · 16 words · K k:KXNCAABMENTION-26FEB26MSUPUR · as_of 2026-10-27T11:20:07Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-02-26 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNCAABMENTION-26FEB26MSUPUR ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Michigan St. at Purdue men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Transfer / Transferred	transfer|transferred	47	37	0.79	YYYYYYnYYY	0.74	no
Mackey Arena	mackey arena	3	3	1	YYY	0.71	yes
All American / All America	all america|all american	13	10	0.77	nYYYnYnYYY	0.68	yes
Airball / Airballs / Airballed	airball|airballed	34	23	0.68	YYnnYYYYYY	0.63	no
Elbow	elbow	47	31	0.66	YYnYnnYYnY	0.62	no
Schedule	schedule	47	31	0.66	nnYYnnYYYY	0.62	yes
Draft / Drafted	draft|drafted	13	8	0.62	nYYYYYYYnn	0.61	no
Record	record	47	25	0.53	YYYnnnYYYY	0.51	yes
Overtime	overtime	44	22	0.5	nnnYYnYnnn	0.51	no
Ankle	ankle	47	22	0.47	nnnYYnYYnn	0.47	no
Recruit / Recruited / Recruitment	recruit|recruited|recruitment	47	21	0.45	YnnYnnnYnn	0.45	yes
Double Double	double double	46	20	0.43	nYnnnnYYnn	0.44	yes
Alley-oop	alley oop	47	12	0.26	YYYnYYnnnn	0.28	no
NIL	nil	47	8	0.17	nnYYnnYnnn	0.2	yes
Walk On	walk on	47	6	0.13	nnnnnnnnnn	0.16	no
March Madness	march madness	47	5	0.11	nnnnYnnnnn	0.14	no