# College basketball (college-basketball) · game 2026-02-24 · 16 words · K k:KXNCAABMENTION-26FEB24DUKEND · as_of 2026-10-27T09:54:12Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-02-24 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNCAABMENTION-26FEB24DUKEND ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Duke at Notre Dame men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Transfer / Transferred	transfer|transferred	44	34	0.77	YYYYYYYYYn	0.73	hist	yes
All American / All America	all america|all american	10	7	0.7	YYYnYYYnYn	0.63	hist	yes
Draft / Drafted	draft|drafted	10	7	0.7	nnYnYYYYYY	0.63	hist	yes
Elbow	elbow	44	29	0.66	YnnYYnYnnY	0.63	hist	yes
Airball / Airballs / Airballed	airball|airballed	31	20	0.65	YnYYYnnYYY	0.61	hist	yes
Schedule	schedule	44	28	0.64	YYnnnYYnnY	0.61	hist	yes
Overtime	overtime	41	22	0.54	YYnnnnYYnY	0.54	hist	no
Record	record	44	22	0.5	nYnYYYnnnY	0.49	hist	yes
Ankle	ankle	44	21	0.48	YYYnnnYYnY	0.47	hist	yes
Recruit / Recruited / Recruitment	recruit|recruited|recruitment	44	20	0.45	nYnYnnYnnn	0.45	hist	yes
Double Double	double double	43	19	0.44	nnYnYnnnnY	0.44	hist	yes
Alley-oop	alley oop	44	12	0.27	nnnYYYnYYn	0.29	hist	no
NIL	nil	44	8	0.18	nYnnnYYnnY	0.21	hist	no
Walk On	walk on	44	6	0.14	nnYnnnnnnn	0.16	hist	no
March Madness	march madness	44	5	0.11	nnnnnnnYnn	0.14	hist	no
Purcell Pavilion	purcell pavilion	0	0			0.46	prior	yes