# College basketball (college-basketball) · game 2026-02-21 · 16 words · K k:KXNCAABMENTION-26FEB21MIZZARK · as_of 2026-10-26T15:35:41Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-02-21 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNCAABMENTION-26FEB21MIZZARK ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Missouri at Arkansas men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Transfer / Transferred	transfer|transferred	38	29	0.76	YnYYnYYYYY	0.71	hist	yes
Elbow	elbow	38	26	0.68	YYYYYYYnnY	0.66	hist	no
Schedule	schedule	38	25	0.66	YnnYnYYYnn	0.66	hist	no
All American / All America	all america|all american	4	3	0.75	YYYn	0.65	hist	no
Airball / Airballs / Airballed	airball|airballed	25	16	0.64	nYYnnYYnYY	0.58	hist	yes
Overtime	overtime	35	19	0.54	YYYYYYYYnn	0.58	hist	yes
Record	record	38	19	0.5	YnnYYYnYnY	0.49	hist	no
Recruit / Recruited / Recruitment	recruit|recruited|recruitment	38	19	0.5	nnYYnnnYnY	0.49	hist	no
Ankle	ankle	38	18	0.47	nnYnnYYYYn	0.47	hist	yes
Double Double	double double	37	17	0.46	YnnYYnnnYn	0.45	hist	no
Draft / Drafted	draft|drafted	4	1	0.25	nnYn	0.28	hist	yes
Alley-oop	alley oop	38	8	0.21	nnnYYnnnnY	0.22	hist	yes
Walk On	walk on	38	6	0.16	YnnnnnnnYn	0.17	hist	no
NIL	nil	38	5	0.13	YnnnnnnYnn	0.17	hist	no
March Madness	march madness	38	4	0.11	nnnnnnnnnn	0.14	hist	yes
Bud Walton	bud walton	0	0			0.45	prior	yes