# College basketball (college-basketball) · game 2026-02-18 · 16 words · K k:KXNCAABMENTION-26FEB18ARKALA · as_of 2026-10-27T11:13:38Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-02-18 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNCAABMENTION-26FEB18ARKALA ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Arkansas at Alabama men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Transfer / Transferred	transfer|transferred	32	24	0.75	YnYYnYYnYY	0.72	hist	no
Schedule	schedule	32	22	0.69	YnYYYYYnnY	0.65	hist	no
Airball / Airballs / Airballed	airball|airballed	19	12	0.63	YnnYYnnYYn	0.63	hist	no
Elbow	elbow	32	22	0.69	YnnYnYYYYY	0.62	hist	yes
Draft	draft	32	20	0.62	YnYYYnYnYY	0.59	hist	yes
Recruit / Recruited / Recruitment	recruit|recruited|recruitment	32	17	0.53	YnYYnnnnYY	0.56	hist	no
Overtime	overtime	29	15	0.52	YYnnnnYYYY	0.49	hist	yes
Ankle	ankle	32	14	0.44	YYnYnYnnYn	0.46	hist	no
Record	record	32	15	0.47	YYYnnYYnnY	0.45	hist	yes
Double Double	double double	31	15	0.48	nnYnYYYnnY	0.44	hist	yes
All American	all american	31	13	0.42	YnnnYnYnnY	0.4	hist	no
Alley-oop	alley oop	32	6	0.19	nnnnnnnnnY	0.22	hist	yes
March Madness	march madness	32	4	0.12	YYnnnnnnnn	0.19	hist	no
Walk On	walk on	32	5	0.16	nnnnnYYnnn	0.15	hist	no
NIL	nil	32	4	0.12	YnnnnnYnnn	0.15	hist	no
Coleman Coliseum	coleman coliseum	0	0			0.44	prior	no