# College basketball (college-basketball) · game 2026-02-16 · 16 words · K k:KXNCAABMENTION-26FEB16HOUISU · as_of 2026-10-25T23:53:14Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-02-16 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNCAABMENTION-26FEB16HOUISU ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Houston at Iowa St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Transfer / Transferred	transfer|transferred	24	18	0.75	nYnYYYYYYn	0.7	hist	yes
Airball / Airballs / Airballed	airball|airballed	11	8	0.73	YYYnnYYYYn	0.65	hist	yes
Elbow	elbow	24	16	0.67	YYYYnYYnYn	0.63	hist	yes
Schedule	schedule	24	16	0.67	YnYYYYYYYn	0.63	hist	yes
Draft	draft	24	14	0.58	nYnYYnYYYn	0.56	hist	yes
Overtime	overtime	21	11	0.52	YYYYYnnYYY	0.54	hist	no
Recruit / Recruited / Recruitment	recruit|recruited|recruitment	24	13	0.54	YYYnYYYYYn	0.52	hist	yes
Ankle	ankle	24	11	0.46	YnYnYnnYYY	0.45	hist	yes
Record	record	24	11	0.46	nnnnYnYnYY	0.45	hist	no
All American	all american	23	10	0.43	nnnnYYYYYn	0.43	hist	no
Double Double	double double	23	10	0.43	YYnYnnYYnn	0.43	hist	no
Alley-oop	alley oop	24	5	0.21	nYnnnnYnnn	0.24	hist	no
March Madness	march madness	24	4	0.17	nnnnnnnnYY	0.2	hist	no
Walk On	walk on	24	3	0.12	nnnYnnnYnn	0.17	hist	no
NIL	nil	24	3	0.12	nnnnYnnnYn	0.16	hist	no
Hilton	hilton	0	0			0.44	prior	yes