# College basketball (college-basketball) · game 2026-02-15 · 16 words · K k:KXNCAABMENTION-26FEB15INDILL · as_of 2026-10-26T15:35:41Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-02-15 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNCAABMENTION-26FEB15INDILL ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Indiana at Illinois men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Transfer / Transferred	transfer|transferred	23	18	0.78	YnYnYYYYYY	0.71	hist	no
Elbow	elbow	23	16	0.7	YYYYYnYYnY	0.67	hist	no
Airball / Airballs / Airballed	airball|airballed	10	8	0.8	YYYYnnYYYY	0.65	hist	no
Schedule	schedule	23	16	0.7	YYnYYYYYYY	0.63	hist	no
Draft	draft	23	14	0.61	nnYnYYnYYY	0.54	hist	no
Recruit / Recruited / Recruitment	recruit|recruited|recruitment	23	13	0.57	nYYYnYYYYY	0.51	hist	no
Overtime	overtime	20	10	0.5	nYYYYYnnYY	0.47	hist	yes
Double Double	double double	22	10	0.45	nYYnYnnYYn	0.44	hist	no
Record	record	23	10	0.43	nnnnnYnYnY	0.42	hist	yes
All American	all american	22	10	0.45	nnnnnYYYYY	0.4	hist	no
Ankle	ankle	23	10	0.43	nYnYnYnnYY	0.39	hist	yes
Alley-oop	alley oop	23	5	0.22	nnYnnnnYnn	0.27	hist	no
March Madness	march madness	23	3	0.13	YnnnnnnnnY	0.14	hist	yes
NIL	nil	23	3	0.13	nnnnnYnnnY	0.14	hist	no
Walk On	walk on	23	3	0.13	nnnnYnnnYn	0.14	hist	no
State Farm	state farm	0	0			0.43	prior	yes