# College basketball (college-basketball) · game 2026-02-11 · 16 words · K k:KXNCAABMENTION-26FEB11MICHNW · as_of 2026-10-27T14:50:46Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-02-11 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNCAABMENTION-26FEB11MICHNW ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Michigan at Northwestern men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Transfer / Transferred	transfer|transferred	15	11	0.73	YnYYYYYYYn	0.67	hist	no
Airball / Airballs / Airballed	airball|airballed	2	2	1	YY	0.62	hist	yes
Elbow	elbow	15	10	0.67	nYYYYnnnYY	0.61	hist	yes
Schedule	schedule	15	9	0.6	nYYYnnnYYY	0.56	hist	yes
Draft	draft	15	8	0.53	YYYnYnYYnn	0.51	hist	no
Record	record	15	7	0.47	YnnnnYYnnn	0.45	hist	no
Double Double	double double	14	6	0.43	YnnnYYnnnY	0.42	hist	no
Ankle	ankle	15	6	0.4	YnnYnnYnnY	0.4	hist	yes
Recruit / Recruited / Recruitment	recruit|recruited|recruitment	15	6	0.4	YnnnnnYYnY	0.4	hist	yes
All American	all american	14	5	0.36	YnnYYnYnnn	0.37	hist	no
Overtime	overtime	12	4	0.33	YnnnnYnYnY	0.37	hist	yes
Alley-oop	alley oop	15	3	0.2	nnnnnYnnnn	0.24	hist	no
March Madness	march madness	15	2	0.13	nnnnnnnnYn	0.18	hist	no
NIL	nil	15	1	0.07	Ynnnnnnnnn	0.12	hist	no
Walk On	walk on	15	1	0.07	nnnYnnnnnn	0.12	hist	no
Welsh-Ryan Arena	welsh ryan arena	0	0			0.41	prior	no