# College basketball (college-basketball) · game 2026-01-30 · 15 words · K k:KXNCAABMENTION-26JAN30MICHMSU · as_of 2026-10-26T00:42:51Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-01-30 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXNCAABMENTION-26JAN30MICHMSU ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Michigan at Michigan St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Airball / Air Ball	air ball|airball	1	1	1	Y	0.52	hist	yes
Alley-oop	alley oop	1	1	1	Y	0.52	hist	no
Record	record	1	1	1	Y	0.52	hist	no
Schedule	schedule	1	1	1	Y	0.52	hist	yes
Transfer / Transferred	transfer|transferred	1	1	1	Y	0.52	hist	yes
Ankle	ankle	1	0	0	n	0.3	hist	no
Draft	draft	1	0	0	n	0.3	hist	no
Elbow	elbow	1	0	0	n	0.3	hist	yes
March Madness	march madness	1	0	0	n	0.3	hist	no
NIL	nil	1	0	0	n	0.3	hist	no
Recruit / Recruited / Recruitment	recruit|recruited|recruitment	1	0	0	n	0.3	hist	yes
Walk On	walk on	1	0	0	n	0.3	hist	no
All American	all american	0	0			0.38	prior	no
Breslin Center	breslin center	0	0			0.38	prior	yes
Double Double	double double	0	0			0.38	prior	yes