# Accuracy

as_of: 2026-10-23 23:10 UTC

## Overall

97.88% of 19,958 settled markets agree (19,535 of 19,958). 8 of 9 categories meet their bar. All 423 mismatches are listed below. Earnings calls: 99.18% of 8,512 checked. p log loss 0.597 vs 0.688 for a constant (walk-forward backtest; lower is better). As of 2026-10-23 23:10 UTC.

## Where it is close

When our count sat exactly at the market's threshold, the venue settled YES 96.5% of the time (2,901 markets); one above, 97.8% (1,745).

| Our count | Venue settled YES | Markets |
|---|---:|---:|
| 0 | 2.4% | 9,633 |
| exactly the threshold | 96.5% | 2,901 |
| threshold + 1 | 97.8% | 1,745 |
| threshold + 2 or more | 99.4% | 5,350 |

Not in the table: 329 markets where our count was above 0 but below a threshold of 2 or more; 5.5% settled YES.

## How good is p?

p is a base rate, not a forecast. Scored as a walk-forward backtest: each market gets the p it would have had before its event, from results settled earlier. The markets are from events since May 1, 2026; the model's settings were fitted on earlier events. The constant gives every market its category's YES rate before May 1, 2026, in All categories too. Lower Brier and log loss are better (a coin flip scores 0.250 and 0.693).

Walk-forward backtest:

| Category | Markets | Brier (p) | Brier (constant) | Log loss (p) | Log loss (constant) | Calibration gap |
|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|
| Earnings | 4,133 | 0.176 | 0.250 | 0.527 | 0.693 | 2.5 pts |
| Trump | 8,956 | 0.218 | 0.249 | 0.624 | 0.691 | 2.9 pts |
| White House | 363 | 0.232 | 0.234 | 0.654 | 0.662 | 6.2 pts |
| Fed | 506 | 0.214 | 0.236 | 0.614 | 0.665 | 4.5 pts |
| Politics | 5,902 | 0.220 | 0.249 | 0.628 | 0.691 | 2.0 pts |
| World | 842 | 0.231 | 0.248 | 0.656 | 0.689 | 2.4 pts |
| News | 4,069 | 0.223 | 0.241 | 0.636 | 0.676 | 2.9 pts |
| Business | 935 | 0.209 | 0.234 | 0.600 | 0.660 | 5.9 pts |
| Podcasts | 1,914 | 0.195 | 0.250 | 0.573 | 0.693 | 7.0 pts |
| Entertainment | 2,168 | 0.197 | 0.235 | 0.581 | 0.664 | 3.8 pts |
| Sports | 10,527 | 0.194 | 0.251 | 0.569 | 0.695 | 1.8 pts |
| All categories | 40,315 | 0.206 | 0.247 | 0.597 | 0.688 | 1.8 pts |

- White House: p barely beats a constant (Brier 0.232 vs 0.234); treat it as a base rate only.

### Live since Oct 20

The constant here is each category's YES rate over every backtest market.

| Category | Markets | Brier (p) | Brier (constant) | Log loss (p) | Log loss (constant) |
|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|
| Earnings | 205 | 0.157 | 0.248 | 0.476 | 0.690 |
| Trump | 221 | 0.206 | 0.252 | 0.592 | 0.698 |
| Politics | 65 | 0.284 | 0.222 | 0.767 | 0.637 |
| News | 74 | 0.196 | 0.252 | 0.578 | 0.698 |
| Business | 39 | 0.233 | 0.270 | 0.667 | 0.734 |
| All categories | 621 | 0.200 | 0.249 | 0.578 | 0.691 |

- 1 category has fewer than 30 settled live markets so far; it is counted in All.

### Calibration

When Parrot said 20–30% (25.6% on average), it happened 24.3% of the time (4,183 markets). Walk-forward backtest: 40,315 markets from events since May 1, 2026, the same markets as “How good is p?”.

| Parrot p | Average p | Settled YES | Markets |
|---|---:|---:|---:|
| 0–10% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 1,076 |
| 10–20% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 2,450 |
| 20–30% | 25.6% | 24.3% | 4,183 |
| 30–40% | 35.5% | 33.3% | 7,919 |
| 40–50% | 45.0% | 43.6% | 8,821 |
| 50–60% | 54.6% | 55.6% | 7,225 |
| 60–70% | 64.9% | 69.3% | 4,019 |
| 70–80% | 74.5% | 76.5% | 2,332 |
| 80–90% | 84.8% | 86.1% | 1,559 |
| 90–100% | 93.8% | 93.6% | 731 |


## How we check

For every settled market whose event has a linked transcript, we count the word under the market's own speaker rule and check whether the count reaches the threshold the venue settled on. The share that matches is our agreement rate. How we count is on [Methodology](/methodology).

The venue's settlement is final. A mismatch means our text or our count differs from what the venue reviewed; it does not mean the venue was wrong.

`p` is scored separately, on settled markets only: each market is scored with the `p` it had before its event (for older events, the walk-forward `p` it would have had), and we compare it with what happened. `p` is a base rate built from history, not a forecast, and never advice.

### What "Beta" means

Each category has a bar: the agreement we hold it to, set by how good its sources are. The Fed, the White House and world events such as Prime Minister's Questions are held to 98%, earnings calls to 97% (the T1 bar on [Methodology](/methodology#tiers)), Trump, news, business and podcasts to 95%, and politics to 90%. When a category's agreement is below its bar over at least 30 settled checks, it is marked **Beta** in the table below.
Its hub, speaker and appearance pages carry the same label.

- In a Beta category, transcript counts and quotes are provisional. Check the mismatch list before relying on one.
- Settlement history comes from the venues' own results, so it is not affected. Outside earnings, the probability `p` is built from settlement history only, so it is not affected either.
- The label goes away once the category is back above its bar. The usual causes are a market matched to the wrong appearance, or speaker labels that need review.


## By category

Each category is measured against its own bar. Below it, over at least 30 checks, it is marked Beta. Categories without transcripts show settlement history only and have nothing to check.

| Category | Bar | Agreement | Kalshi | Polymarket | Status |
|---|---:|---:|---:|---:|---|
| Earnings | 97% | 99.18% (8,442/8,512) | 99.23% (6,304/6,353) | 99.03% (2,138/2,159) | Meets its 97% bar |
| Trump | 95% | 96.19% (4,063/4,224) | 96.46% (2,590/2,685) | 95.71% (1,473/1,539) | Meets its 95% bar |
| White House | 98% | 97.55% (1,870/1,917) | 97.51% (1,407/1,443) | 97.68% (463/474) | Beta: below its 98% bar |
| Fed | 98% | 99.47% (757/761) | 99.77% (440/441) | 99.06% (317/320) | Meets its 98% bar |
| Politics | 90% | 94.81% (1,078/1,137) | 95.24% (1,001/1,051) | 89.53% (77/86) | Meets its 90% bar |
| World | 98% | 98.53% (401/407) | 99.10% (329/332) | 96.00% (72/75) | Meets its 98% bar |
| News | 95% | 97.59% (1,826/1,871) | 97.60% (1,708/1,750) | 97.52% (118/121) | Meets its 95% bar |
| Business | 95% | 97.71% (597/611) | 97.48% (465/477) | 98.51% (132/134) | Meets its 95% bar |
| Podcasts | 95% | 96.72% (501/518) | 94.26% (115/122) | 97.47% (386/396) | Meets its 95% bar |
| Entertainment | — | — | — | — | Not yet measured |
| Sports | — | — | — | — | History only |
| All categories | — | 97.88% (19,535/19,958) | 97.99% (14,359/14,654) | 97.59% (5,176/5,304) | |

## Window markets

Weekly and monthly markets settle on every appearance in the window. We can grade one only when our count already decides it: a YES once the word is found, a NO only when every appearance in the window has text. So most graded window markets settled YES, and their rate measures YES-side precision. They are included in the category rates above.

| Category | Agreement (graded) | Graded YES | Graded NO |
|---|---:|---:|---:|
| Trump | 97.44% (837/859) | 839 of 2,412 | 20 of 1,922 |

## Mismatches

423 settled markets where our count and the settlement differ. All of them are below, latest first.

| Date | Subject | Word | Venue | Settled | Our count | Who counts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---:|---|
| 2026-10-23 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-10-23-donald-trump-rally-florida) | Elon / Musk | Kalshi | NO | 5 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-10-23 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-10-23-donald-trump-rally-florida) | Hormuz | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-10-22 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-10-22-donald-trump-rally-iowa) | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Kalshi | NO | 2 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-10-22 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-10-22-donald-trump-rally-iowa) | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Polymarket | NO | 2 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-10-22 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-10-22-donald-trump-rally-iowa) | Hormuz | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-10-22 | [World News Tonight](/e/2026-10-22-world-news-tonight-tv-episode) | Iran / Iranian | Kalshi | NO | 2 (needs 1) | any host or reporter |
| 2026-10-21 | [United Airlines (UAL)](/e/2026-10-21-united-airlines-earnings-call) | A321XLR | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | company speakers + operator |
| 2026-10-21 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-10-21-donald-trump-rally-south-carolina) | Bessent | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-10-21 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-10-21-donald-trump-remarks) | Elon / Musk | Kalshi | NO | 2 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-10-21 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-10-21-donald-trump-remarks) | Elon / Musk | Polymarket | NO | 2 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-10-21 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-10-21-donald-trump-rally-south-carolina) | Hormuz | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-10-20 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-10-20-donald-trump-remarks) | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-10-18 | [NYT front page](/e/2026-10-18-nyt-front-page-front-page) | Woman | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | — |
| 2026-10-16 | [World News Tonight](/e/2026-10-16-world-news-tonight-tv-episode) | Trump (5+ times) | Kalshi | NO | 5 (needs 5) | any host or reporter |
| 2026-10-16 | [World News Tonight](/e/2026-10-16-world-news-tonight-tv-episode) | Zacharia | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | any host or reporter |
| 2026-10-15 | [TSMC (TSM)](/e/2026-10-15-tsmc-earnings-call) | A12 / A13 | Polymarket | NO | 1 (needs 1) | anyone |
| 2026-10-15 | [Katie Zacharia on Hannity](/e/2026-10-15-hannity-tv-episode) | Lawyer | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-10-15 | [TSMC (TSM)](/e/2026-10-15-tsmc-earnings-call) | Nanometer | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | anyone |
| 2026-10-14 | [Mark Kelly on The Briefing](/e/2026-10-14-the-briefing-with-jen-psaki-tv-episode) | Election | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-10-14 | [Prime Minister's Questions](/e/2026-10-14-prime-ministers-questions-pmqs) | Reform | Polymarket | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-10-13 | [World News Tonight](/e/2026-10-13-world-news-tonight-tv-episode) | Zacharia | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | any host or reporter |
| 2026-10-11 | [NYT front page](/e/2026-10-11-nyt-front-page-front-page) | Woman | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | — |
| 2026-10-07 | [Lemonade Stand](/e/2026-10-07-lemonade-stand-podcast-episode) | AI / Artificial Intelligence 15+ times | Polymarket | NO | 15 (needs 15) | anyone |
| 2026-10-07 | [World News Tonight](/e/2026-10-07-world-news-tonight-tv-episode) | Diesel | Kalshi | NO | 2 (needs 1) | any host or reporter |
| 2026-10-07 | [Levi's (LEVI)](/e/2026-10-07-levis-earnings-call) | Glowzone | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | company speakers + operator |
| 2026-10-07 | [World News Tonight](/e/2026-10-07-world-news-tonight-tv-episode) | Nuclear | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | any host or reporter |
| 2026-10-06 | [Jamie Raskin on All In](/e/2026-10-06-all-in-with-chris-hayes-tv-episode) | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | NO | 3 (needs 3) | named speaker only |
| 2026-10-05 | [Abdul El-Sayed on Fox News](/e/2026-10-05-fox-news-interviews-tv-episode-the-story-with-martha-maccallum) | AIPAC | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-10-05 | [Abdul El-Sayed on Fox News](/e/2026-10-05-fox-news-interviews-tv-episode-the-story-with-martha-maccallum) | Tariff | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-10-04 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-10-04-donald-trump-posts-window) | Putin | Polymarket | NO | 3 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-10-03 | [MrBeast](/e/2026-10-03-mrbeast-podcast-episode) | Dollar 10+ times | Polymarket | YES | 5 (needs 10) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-30 | [World News Tonight](/e/2026-09-30-world-news-tonight-tv-episode) | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Kalshi | NO | 2 (needs 1) | any host or reporter |
| 2026-09-30 | [Lemonade Stand](/e/2026-09-30-lemonade-stand-podcast-episode) | AI / Artificial Intelligence 10+ times | Polymarket | NO | 12 (needs 10) | anyone |
| 2026-09-30 | [Cal-Maine Foods (CALM)](/e/2026-09-30-cal-maine-foods-earnings-call) | Avian Influenza / HPAI | Kalshi | NO | 3 (needs 1) | company speakers + operator |
| 2026-09-30 | [Micron (MU)](/e/2026-09-30-micron-earnings-call) | Customer 25+ times | Polymarket | YES | 18 (needs 25) | anyone |
| 2026-09-30 | [Micron (MU)](/e/2026-09-30-micron-earnings-call) | Data Center 5+ times | Polymarket | YES | 1 (needs 5) | anyone |
| 2026-09-30 | [World News Tonight](/e/2026-09-30-world-news-tonight-tv-episode) | Hegseth | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | any host or reporter |
| 2026-09-30 | [Lemonade Stand](/e/2026-09-30-lemonade-stand-podcast-episode) | Red | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | anyone |
| 2026-09-30 | [World News Tonight](/e/2026-09-30-world-news-tonight-tv-episode) | Terror / Terrorist / Terrorism | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | any host or reporter |
| 2026-09-29 | [Vlad Tenev](/e/2026-09-29-vlad-tenev-keynote) | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Kalshi | NO | 4 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-29 | [Vlad Tenev](/e/2026-09-29-vlad-tenev-keynote) | Bitcoin | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-29 | [Vlad Tenev](/e/2026-09-29-vlad-tenev-keynote) | Futures | Kalshi | NO | 3 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-29 | [World News Tonight](/e/2026-09-29-world-news-tonight-tv-episode) | OpenAI / Anthropic | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | any host or reporter |
| 2026-09-29 | [Vlad Tenev](/e/2026-09-29-vlad-tenev-keynote) | Tokenized / Tokenization | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-23 | [Cory Booker on The Weeknight](/e/2026-09-23-the-weeknight-tv-episode) | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-22 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-22-donald-trump-speech-united-nations-meetings) | Argentina | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-22 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-22-donald-trump-speech-united-nations-meetings) | Biden | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-22 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-22-donald-trump-speech-united-nations-meetings) | Billion / Trillion | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-22 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-22-donald-trump-speech-united-nations-meetings) | Cartel | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-22 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-22-donald-trump-speech-united-nations-meetings) | China / Chinese | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-22 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-22-donald-trump-speech-united-nations-general) | Democrat | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-22 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-22-donald-trump-speech-united-nations-meetings) | Denmark / Danish | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-22 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-22-donald-trump-speech-united-nations-meetings) | Diesel | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-22 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-22-donald-trump-speech-united-nations-meetings) | Drone / Torpedo | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-22 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-22-donald-trump-speech-united-nations-meetings) | Drone / Torpedo | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-22 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-22-donald-trump-speech-united-nations-meetings) | Fake News | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-22 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-22-donald-trump-speech-united-nations-meetings) | Fake News | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-22 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-22-donald-trump-speech-united-nations-meetings) | Fentanyl | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-22 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-22-donald-trump-speech-united-nations-meetings) | Gaza / Palestine | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-22 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-22-donald-trump-speech-united-nations-meetings) | Greenland (3+ times) | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 3) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-22 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-22-donald-trump-speech-united-nations-meetings) | Hormuz | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-22 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-22-donald-trump-speech-united-nations-meetings) | Hormuz | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-22 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-22-donald-trump-speech-united-nations-meetings) | Hostage | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-22 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-22-donald-trump-speech-united-nations-meetings) | Invest / Invested / Investment | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-22 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-22-donald-trump-speech-united-nations-meetings) | Invest / Invested / Investment | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-22 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-22-donald-trump-speech-united-nations-meetings) | Japan / Japanese | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-22 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-22-donald-trump-speech-united-nations-meetings) | Nuclear | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-22 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-22-donald-trump-speech-united-nations-meetings) | Nuclear | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-22 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-22-donald-trump-speech-united-nations-meetings) | Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-22 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-22-donald-trump-speech-united-nations-meetings) | Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-22 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-22-donald-trump-speech-united-nations-meetings) | Putin | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-22 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-22-donald-trump-speech-united-nations-meetings) | Rare Earth / Mineral | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-22 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-22-donald-trump-speech-united-nations-meetings) | Rare Earth / Mineral | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-22 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-22-donald-trump-speech-united-nations-meetings) | Russia / Russian | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-22 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-22-donald-trump-speech-united-nations-meetings) | Stock Market | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-22 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-22-donald-trump-speech-united-nations-meetings) | Stock Market | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-22 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-22-donald-trump-speech-united-nations-meetings) | Tariff | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-22 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-22-donald-trump-speech-united-nations-meetings) | Tariff | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-22 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-22-donald-trump-speech-united-nations-meetings) | Trade | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-22 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-22-donald-trump-speech-united-nations-meetings) | Venezuela / Venezuelan | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-22 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-22-donald-trump-speech-united-nations-meetings) | Zelensky | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-22 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-22-donald-trump-speech-united-nations-meetings) | Zelensky | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-21 | [World News Tonight](/e/2026-09-21-world-news-tonight-tv-episode) | Kennedy | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | any host or reporter |
| 2026-09-18 | [World News Tonight](/e/2026-09-18-world-news-tonight-tv-episode) | Fed / Federal Reserve / Interest Rate | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | any host or reporter |
| 2026-09-17 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-17-donald-trump-remarks) | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-17 | [World News Tonight](/e/2026-09-17-world-news-tonight-tv-episode) | Fed / Federal Reserve / Interest Rate | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | any host or reporter |
| 2026-09-16 | [World News Tonight](/e/2026-09-16-world-news-tonight-tv-episode) | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Kalshi | NO | 2 (needs 1) | any host or reporter |
| 2026-09-16 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-16-donald-trump-remarks) | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-16 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-16-donald-trump-remarks) | Charlotte / Golf | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-16 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-16-donald-trump-remarks) | Cheat / Cheater / Cheating | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-16 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-16-donald-trump-remarks) | China | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-16 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-16-donald-trump-remarks) | China / Chinese | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-16 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-16-donald-trump-remarks) | Communist / Communism | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-16 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-16-donald-trump-remarks) | Communist / Communism 5+ times | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 5) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-16 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-16-donald-trump-remarks) | Crazy | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-16 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-16-donald-trump-remarks) | Crime / Criminal 15+ times | Polymarket | YES | 2 (needs 15) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-16 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-16-donald-trump-remarks) | Deport / Deported / Deportation | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-16 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-16-donald-trump-remarks) | Dividend / Stimulus | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-16 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-16-donald-trump-remarks) | Egg | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-16 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-16-donald-trump-remarks) | Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-16 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-16-donald-trump-remarks) | FEMA | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-16 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-16-donald-trump-remarks) | Fake News | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-16 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-16-donald-trump-remarks) | Fraud | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-16 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-16-donald-trump-remarks) | Healthcare | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-16 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-16-donald-trump-remarks) | Healthcare | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-16 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-16-donald-trump-remarks) | Hottest | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-16 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-16-donald-trump-remarks) | Hottest | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-16 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-16-donald-trump-remarks) | ICE | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-16 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-16-donald-trump-remarks) | Kamala | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-16 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-16-donald-trump-remarks) | Landslide | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-16 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-16-donald-trump-remarks) | MAGA / Make America Great Again | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-16 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-16-donald-trump-remarks) | Make America Healthy Again | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-16 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-16-donald-trump-remarks) | Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times | Polymarket | YES | 8 (needs 20) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-16 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-16-donald-trump-remarks) | Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-16 | [Prime Minister's Questions](/e/2026-10-14-prime-ministers-questions-pmqs) | Reform | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-16 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-16-donald-trump-remarks) | Russia | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-16 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-16-donald-trump-remarks) | Sanctuary | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-16 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-16-donald-trump-remarks) | Save America Act | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-16 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-16-donald-trump-remarks) | Save America Act | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-16 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-16-donald-trump-remarks) | Stock Market | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-16 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-16-donald-trump-remarks) | Stock Market | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-16 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-16-donald-trump-remarks) | Supreme Court | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-16 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-16-donald-trump-remarks) | Transgender | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-16 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-16-donald-trump-remarks) | Transgender | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-16 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-16-donald-trump-remarks) | Warsh | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-15 | [Cory Booker on All In](/e/2026-09-15-all-in-with-chris-hayes-tv-episode) | Billionaire | Kalshi | NO | 3 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-15 | [World News Tonight](/e/2026-09-15-world-news-tonight-tv-episode) | Fed / Federal Reserve / Interest Rate | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | any host or reporter |
| 2026-09-15 | [Salesforce](/e/2026-09-15-marc-benioff-keynote) | SaaSpocalypse | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-14 | [Jack Clark on Special Report](/e/2026-09-14-special-report-with-bret-baier-tv-episode) | Regulation / Regulate / Regulated | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-13 | [Wes Moore on Fox News Sunday](/e/2026-09-13-fox-news-sunday-tv-episode) | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-13 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-13-donald-trump-posts-window) | China | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-13 | [Wes Moore on Fox News Sunday](/e/2026-09-13-fox-news-sunday-tv-episode) | Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-13 | [Wes Moore on Fox News Sunday](/e/2026-09-13-fox-news-sunday-tv-episode) | Election | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-11 | [World News Tonight](/e/2026-09-11-world-news-tonight-tv-episode) | Fed / Federal Reserve / Interest Rate | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | any host or reporter |
| 2026-09-11 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-11-donald-trump-remarks) | Hundred / Thousand 10+ times | Polymarket | NO | 10 (needs 10) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-10 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-10-donald-trump-speech) | Barack Hussein Obama | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-10 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-10-donald-trump-speech) | Charlie / Kirk | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-10 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-10-donald-trump-speech) | Dell | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-10 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-10-donald-trump-speech) | Macron | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-10 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-10-donald-trump-speech) | Schumer | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-10 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-10-donald-trump-speech) | Sleepy Joe | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-10 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-10-donald-trump-speech) | Talarico / Talafreako | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-10 | [World News Tonight](/e/2026-09-10-world-news-tonight-tv-episode) | Tariff | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | any host or reporter |
| 2026-09-10 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-10-donald-trump-speech) | Thune | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-10 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-10-donald-trump-speech) | Vance | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-09 | [World News Tonight](/e/2026-09-09-world-news-tonight-tv-episode) | Amazon / 767 | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | any host or reporter |
| 2026-09-09 | [Apple](/e/2026-09-09-john-ternus-keynote) | Chip | Kalshi | NO | 2 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-09 | [John Ternus](/e/2026-09-09-john-ternus-keynote) | Chip | Polymarket | NO | 2 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-09 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-09-donald-trump-speech) | Dumbocrat / Dumacrat | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-09 | [Lemonade Stand](/e/2026-09-09-lemonade-stand-podcast-episode) | Red | Polymarket | NO | 1 (needs 1) | anyone |
| 2026-09-08 | [World News Tonight](/e/2026-09-08-world-news-tonight-tv-episode) | Job / Hiring | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | any host or reporter |
| 2026-09-08 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-08-donald-trump-remarks) | Journey / Travel / Travelled | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-08 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-08-donald-trump-remarks) | Tunnel to Towers | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-08 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-09-08-donald-trump-remarks) | Tunnel to Towers | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-06 | [The Joe Rogan Experience](/e/2026-09-06-the-joe-rogan-experience-podcast-episode) | Red | Polymarket | NO | 1 (needs 1) | anyone |
| 2026-09-06 | [NYT front page](/e/2026-09-06-nyt-front-page-front-page) | Woman | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | — |
| 2026-09-04 | [World News Tonight](/e/2026-09-04-world-news-tonight-tv-episode) | FCC / Disney | Kalshi | NO | 2 (needs 1) | any host or reporter |
| 2026-09-02 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-09-02-zohran-mamdani-remarks-e598c3) | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-02 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-09-02-zohran-mamdani-remarks-e598c3) | Community | Polymarket | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-02 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-09-02-zohran-mamdani-remarks-e598c3) | Health | Polymarket | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-02 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-09-02-zohran-mamdani-remarks-e598c3) | Safe / Safer / Safety | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-02 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-09-02-zohran-mamdani-remarks-e598c3) | School | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-01 | [Dell (DELL)](/e/2026-09-01-dell-earnings-call) | Dividend (3+ times) | Kalshi | YES | 1 (needs 3) | company speakers + operator |
| 2026-09-01 | [Dell (DELL)](/e/2026-09-01-dell-earnings-call) | PowerEdge / Power Edge | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | company speakers + operator |
| 2026-09-01 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-09-01-zohran-mamdani-remarks-ac87ea) | Sue / Sued / Suing / Lawsuit | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-09-01 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-09-01-zohran-mamdani-remarks-ac87ea) | Trump / President | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-08-31 | [Donald Trump](/trump) | Meta | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-08-31 | [World News Tonight](/e/2026-08-31-world-news-tonight-tv-episode) | Moon | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | any host or reporter |
| 2026-08-30 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-08-30-donald-trump-posts-window) | Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-08-30 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-08-30-donald-trump-posts-window) | Investigation | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-08-30 | [Ted Cruz on Meet the Press](/e/2026-08-30-meet-the-press-tv-episode) | Talarico | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-08-29 | [Robert F. Kennedy Jr. on Saturday in America](/e/2026-08-29-saturday-in-america-tv-episode) | MAHA / Make America Healthy Again | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-08-28 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-08-28-donald-trump-remarks) | Iran | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-08-26 | [CrowdStrike (CRWD)](/e/2026-08-26-crowdstrike-earnings-call) | AI Detection | Kalshi | NO | 2 (needs 1) | company speakers + operator |
| 2026-08-26 | [World News Tonight](/e/2026-08-26-world-news-tonight-tv-episode) | Canada | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | any host or reporter |
| 2026-08-26 | [World News Tonight](/e/2026-08-26-world-news-tonight-tv-episode) | Lake America / Ontario | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | any host or reporter |
| 2026-08-26 | [World News Tonight](/e/2026-08-26-world-news-tonight-tv-episode) | Measles | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | any host or reporter |
| 2026-08-26 | [World News Tonight](/e/2026-08-26-world-news-tonight-tv-episode) | Trump (5+ times) | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 5) | any host or reporter |
| 2026-08-26 | [World News Tonight](/e/2026-08-26-world-news-tonight-tv-episode) | Ukraine / Ukrainian | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | any host or reporter |
| 2026-08-25 | [Intuit (INTU)](/e/2026-08-25-intuit-earnings-call) | Pro Tax | Kalshi | NO | 2 (needs 1) | company speakers + operator |
| 2026-08-25 | [Intuit (INTU)](/e/2026-08-25-intuit-earnings-call) | QuickBooks Advanced | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | company speakers + operator |
| 2026-08-24 | [Beto O'Rourke on All In](/e/2026-08-24-all-in-with-chris-hayes-tv-episode) | Iran / Iranian | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-08-23 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-08-23-donald-trump-posts-window) | Israel | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-08-23 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-08-23-donald-trump-posts-window) | NATO | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-08-23 | [Joe Manchin on Fox News](/e/2026-08-23-fox-news-interviews-tv-episode-one-nation-with-brian-kilmeade) | Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-08-22 | [MrBeast](/e/2026-08-22-mrbeast-podcast-episode) | Dollar 5+ times | Polymarket | YES | 2 (needs 5) | named speaker only |
| 2026-08-22 | [MrBeast](/e/2026-08-22-mrbeast-podcast-episode) | Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times | Polymarket | YES | 2 (needs 10) | named speaker only |
| 2026-08-22 | [MrBeast](/e/2026-08-22-mrbeast-podcast-episode) | Sponsor / Sponsored / Sponsoring | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-08-22 | [MrBeast](/e/2026-08-22-mrbeast-podcast-episode) | Time 5+ times | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 5) | named speaker only |
| 2026-08-21 | [World News Tonight](/e/2026-08-21-world-news-tonight-tv-episode) | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Kalshi | NO | 2 (needs 1) | any host or reporter |
| 2026-08-20 | [Walmart (WMT)](/e/2026-08-20-walmart-earnings-call) | Brick and Mortar | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | company speakers + operator |
| 2026-08-13 | [YETI](/e/2026-08-13-yeti-earnings-call) | International 20+ times | Polymarket | NO | 20 (needs 20) | anyone |
| 2026-08-11 | [eToro (ETOR)](/e/2026-08-11-etoro-earnings-call) | CopyTrader | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | company speakers + operator |
| 2026-08-09 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-08-09-donald-trump-posts-window) | Russia | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-08-05 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-08-05-donald-trump-remarks) | Dumbocrat / Dumacrat | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-08-04 | [AMD](/e/2026-08-04-amd-earnings-call) | GPU 10+ times | Polymarket | YES | 9 (needs 10) | anyone |
| 2026-08-04 | [Spotify (SPOT)](/e/2026-08-04-spotify-earnings-call) | Stream | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | anyone |
| 2026-08-04 | [SpaceX (SPCX)](/e/2026-08-04-spacex-earnings-call) | T-Mobile | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | company speakers + operator |
| 2026-08-03 | [Snap (SNAP)](/e/2026-08-03-snap-earnings-call) | Spectacles | Kalshi | NO | 13 (needs 1) | company speakers + operator |
| 2026-07-31 | [Donald Trump](/trump) | Goat | Polymarket | NO | 2 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-07-31 | [Donald Trump](/trump) | Six Seven | Polymarket | NO | 2 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-07-30 | [Yum! Brands (YUM)](/e/2026-07-30-yum-brands-earnings-call) | Buyback / Share Repurchase | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | company speakers + operator |
| 2026-07-29 | [Microsoft (MSFT)](/e/2026-07-29-microsoft-earnings-call) | AI / Artificial Intelligence 30+ times | Polymarket | YES | 29 (needs 30) | anyone |
| 2026-07-29 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-07-29-donald-trump-rally-tele-michael-alfonso) | Dumbocrat / Dumacrat | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-07-28 | [Ford (F)](/e/2026-07-28-ford-earnings-call) | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | company speakers + operator |
| 2026-07-28 | [PayPal (PYPL)](/e/2026-07-28-paypal-earnings-call) | Agentic Commerce | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | company speakers + operator |
| 2026-07-28 | [PayPal (PYPL)](/e/2026-07-28-paypal-earnings-call) | Agentic Commerce | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | anyone |
| 2026-07-27 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-07-27-donald-trump-remarks) | Dumbocrat / Dumacrat | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-07-27 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-07-27-donald-trump-remarks) | Trump 5+ times | Polymarket | YES | 3 (needs 5) | named speaker only |
| 2026-07-26 | [Donald Trump](/trump) | Six Seven | Polymarket | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-07-24 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-07-24-donald-trump-remarks-white-house-correspondents) | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Kalshi | NO | 2 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-07-24 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-07-24-donald-trump-remarks-white-house-correspondents) | Dumbocrat / Dumacrat | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-07-23 | [White House press briefing](/e/2026-07-23-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | CDC / WHO | Polymarket | NO | 10 (needs 1) | role: press secretary |
| 2026-07-23 | [White House press briefing](/e/2026-07-23-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | Correspondents Dinner | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | role: press secretary |
| 2026-07-23 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-07-23-donald-trump-remarks-announcement-ratepayer-protections) | Dumbocrat / Dumacrat | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-07-23 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-07-23-donald-trump-remarks-announcement-ratepayer-protections) | Fake News | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-07-23 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-07-23-donald-trump-remarks-announcement-ratepayer-protections) | Fake News | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-07-23 | [White House press briefing](/e/2026-07-23-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | Truth Social | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | role: press secretary |
| 2026-07-23 | [White House press briefing](/e/2026-07-23-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | World Cup | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | role: press secretary |
| 2026-07-22 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-07-22-donald-trump-remarks) | 250 | Kalshi | NO | 3 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-07-22 | [Tesla (TSLA)](/e/2026-07-22-tesla-earnings-call) | Cybertruck | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | company speakers + operator |
| 2026-07-22 | [Tesla (TSLA)](/e/2026-07-22-tesla-earnings-call) | Cybertruck | Polymarket | NO | 1 (needs 1) | anyone |
| 2026-07-22 | [Google (GOOGL)](/e/2026-07-22-google-earnings-call) | Gemini 3 | Kalshi | NO | 5 (needs 1) | company speakers + operator |
| 2026-07-22 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-07-22-donald-trump-remarks) | Six Seven | Polymarket | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-07-22 | [Google (GOOGL)](/e/2026-07-22-google-earnings-call) | Youtube Shorts | Kalshi | NO | 2 (needs 1) | company speakers + operator |
| 2026-07-19 | [Donald Trump](/trump) | Six Seven | Polymarket | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-07-16 | [White House press briefing](/e/2026-07-16-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | Thing 10+ times | Polymarket | YES | 5 (needs 10) | role: press secretary |
| 2026-07-14 | [JPMorgan (JPM)](/e/2026-07-14-jpmorgan-earnings-call) | Buyback | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | company speakers + operator |
| 2026-07-14 | [JPMorgan (JPM)](/e/2026-07-14-jpmorgan-earnings-call) | Dollar 10+ times | Polymarket | NO | 42 (needs 10) | anyone |
| 2026-07-14 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-07-14-zohran-mamdani-remarks-0e127d) | World Cup | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-07-12 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-07-12-donald-trump-posts-window) | China | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-07-12 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-07-12-donald-trump-posts-window) | Israel | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-07-12 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-07-12-donald-trump-posts-window) | Pope | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-07-08 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-07-08-donald-trump-remarks) | Drone | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-07-08 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-07-08-donald-trump-presser) | Putin | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-07-08 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-07-08-donald-trump-remarks) | Putin | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-07-07 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-07-07-donald-trump-remarks) | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-06-28 | [Donald Trump](/trump) | Cuba / Cuban | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-06-28 | [Donald Trump](/trump) | Six Seven | Polymarket | NO | 2 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-06-28 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-06-28-donald-trump-posts-window) | UFC | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-06-26 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-06-26-donald-trump-keynote) | Dumbocrat / Dumacrat | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-06-25 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-06-25-donald-trump-rally-tele-julia-letlow) | Swamp the Vote | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-06-24 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-06-24-donald-trump-remarks-meeting-nato-secretary) | Dumbocrat / Dumacrat | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-06-23 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-06-23-donald-trump-remarks) | Dumbocrat / Dumacrat | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-06-22 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-06-22-donald-trump-remarks) | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Kalshi | NO | 3 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-06-21 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-06-21-donald-trump-posts-window) | Gold / Golden | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-06-17 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-06-17-donald-trump-remarks-bilateral-prime-minister) | 250 | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-06-17 | [FOMC press conference](/e/2026-06-17-fomc-press-conference-presser) | Chair | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-06-17 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-06-17-donald-trump-remarks-bilateral-egypt) | Dumbocrat / Dumacrat | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-06-15 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-06-15-donald-trump-remarks-bilateral-france) | Zelensky | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-06-14 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-06-14-donald-trump-posts-window) | CBS | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-06-14 | [Donald Trump](/trump) | Knicks | Polymarket | NO | 2 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-06-12 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-06-12-zohran-mamdani-remarks-f472d6) | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-06-12 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-06-12-zohran-mamdani-remarks-f472d6) | Grocery | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-06-12 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-06-12-zohran-mamdani-remarks-f472d6) | Trump / President | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-06-10 | [Sridhar Ramaswamy on TBPN](/e/2026-06-10-tbpn-podcast-episode) | Anthropic / Claude | Kalshi | NO | 2 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-06-10 | [Sridhar Ramaswamy on TBPN](/e/2026-06-10-tbpn-podcast-episode) | Data Center | Kalshi | NO | 7 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-06-10 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-06-10-donald-trump-remarks) | Dumbocrat / Dumacrat | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-06-10 | [Sridhar Ramaswamy on TBPN](/e/2026-06-10-tbpn-podcast-episode) | Open Source | Kalshi | NO | 2 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-06-10 | [Sridhar Ramaswamy on TBPN](/e/2026-06-10-tbpn-podcast-episode) | OpenAI / ChatGPT | Kalshi | NO | 3 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-06-10 | [Sridhar Ramaswamy on TBPN](/e/2026-06-10-tbpn-podcast-episode) | Security / Cybersecurity | Kalshi | NO | 3 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-06-05 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-06-05-donald-trump-remarks) | Iran | Kalshi | NO | 5 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-06-04 | [Donald Trump](/e/2026-06-04-donald-trump-remarks) | Dumbocrat / Dumacrat | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-06-01 | [Matt Murphy](/e/2026-06-01-matt-murphy-keynote) | Inference | Kalshi | NO | 2 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-05-18 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-05-18-zohran-mamdani-remarks-67a828) | Crisis | Kalshi | NO | 2 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-05-18 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-05-18-zohran-mamdani-remarks-67a828) | Israel / Israeli | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-05-18 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-05-18-zohran-mamdani-remarks-67a828) | Safe / Safer / Safety | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-05-13 | [Nebius (NBIS)](/e/2026-05-13-nebius-earnings-call) | Aether | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | company speakers + operator |
| 2026-05-05 | [Progressive (PGR)](/e/2026-05-05-progressive-earnings-call) | Buyback | Kalshi | NO | 2 (needs 1) | company speakers + operator |
| 2026-05-05 | [Ferrari (RACE)](/e/2026-05-05-ferrari-earnings-call) | United States / Americas | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | company speakers + operator |
| 2026-04-29 | [Chipotle (CMG)](/e/2026-04-29-chipotle-earnings-call) | Chipotle Lane / Chipotlane | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | company speakers + operator |
| 2026-04-29 | [Amazon (AMZN)](/e/2026-04-29-amazon-earnings-call) | Sponsored Products | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | company speakers + operator |
| 2026-04-24 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-04-25-zohran-mamdani-remarks-4daa02) | Iran / Iranian | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-04-23 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-04-24-zohran-mamdani-remarks-d31833) | Iran / Iranian | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-04-23 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-04-24-zohran-mamdani-remarks-d31833) | Landlord | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-04-23 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-04-24-zohran-mamdani-remarks-d31833) | Trump / President | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-04-21 | [Alaska Air (ALK)](/e/2026-04-21-alaska-air-earnings-call) | AI / Artificial Intelligence | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | company speakers + operator |
| 2026-04-15 | [Scott Bessent](/e/2026-04-15-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | Hormuz | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-04-15 | [Prime Minister's Questions](/e/2026-04-15-prime-ministers-questions-pmqs) | United States | Polymarket | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-04-02 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-04-06-zohran-mamdani-remarks-4c3fba) | Iran / Iranian | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-03-25 | [White House press briefing](/e/2026-03-25-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | Air / Land / Sea 3+ times | Polymarket | YES | 2 (needs 3) | role: press secretary |
| 2026-03-18 | [Micron (MU)](/e/2026-03-18-micron-earnings-call) | Inventory | Kalshi | NO | 4 (needs 1) | company speakers + operator |
| 2026-03-18 | [Micron (MU)](/e/2026-03-18-micron-earnings-call) | New York | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | company speakers + operator |
| 2026-03-18 | [Micron (MU)](/e/2026-03-18-micron-earnings-call) | Smartphone | Kalshi | NO | 8 (needs 1) | company speakers + operator |
| 2026-03-05 | [Vlad Tenev](/e/2026-03-05-vlad-tenev-keynote) | Social | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-02-26 | [RBC (RY)](/e/2026-02-26-rbc-earnings-call) | Stimulus | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | company speakers + operator |
| 2026-02-25 | [Prime Minister's Questions](/e/2026-02-25-prime-ministers-questions-pmqs) | Conservative | Polymarket | NO | 11 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-02-25 | [Circle (CRCL)](/e/2026-02-25-circle-earnings-call) | Kraken | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | company speakers + operator |
| 2026-02-16 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-02-16-zohran-mamdani-remarks-e34b1f) | Safe / Safer / Safety | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-02-16 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-02-16-zohran-mamdani-remarks-e34b1f) | Snow | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-02-16 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-02-16-zohran-mamdani-remarks-e34b1f) | Trump / President | Kalshi | NO | 2 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-02-10 | [Lyft (LYFT)](/e/2026-02-10-lyft-earnings-call) | Mobileye | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | company speakers + operator |
| 2026-02-06 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-02-06-zohran-mamdani-remarks-a8bb9d) | Five Borough | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-02-06 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-02-06-zohran-mamdani-remarks-a8bb9d) | Freeze / Freezing | Kalshi | NO | 2 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-02-06 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-02-06-zohran-mamdani-remarks-a8bb9d) | NYPD | Kalshi | NO | 2 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-02-06 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-02-06-zohran-mamdani-remarks-a8bb9d) | Snow | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-02-06 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-02-06-zohran-mamdani-remarks-a8bb9d) | Trump / President | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-02-03 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-02-03-zohran-mamdani-remarks-f87511) | Economy / Economic | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-02-03 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-02-03-zohran-mamdani-remarks-f87511) | Trump | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-31 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-01-31-zohran-mamdani-remarks-f5fa8e) | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-31 | [Donald Trump](/trump) | Bitcoin | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-31 | [Donald Trump](/trump) | Breaking News | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-31 | [Donald Trump](/trump) | F-47 | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-31 | [Donald Trump](/trump) | Jerome Too Late Powell | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-31 | [Donald Trump](/trump) | Rolex | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-31 | [Donald Trump](/trump) | Skyrocket / Skyrocketed | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-31 | [Donald Trump](/trump) | Teleprompter | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-31 | [Donald Trump](/trump) | Trump Derangement Syndrome | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-31 | [Donald Trump](/trump) | TrumpRx.gov / TrumpRx.com / TrumpRx | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-28 | [Meta (META)](/e/2026-01-28-meta-earnings-call) | Dividend | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | company speakers + operator |
| 2026-01-28 | [FOMC press conference](/e/2026-01-28-fomc-press-conference-presser) | Renovation | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | role: fed chair |
| 2026-01-26 | [Ryanair (RYAAY)](/e/2026-01-26-ryanair-earnings-call) | Elon / Musk | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | anyone |
| 2026-01-26 | [White House press briefing](/e/2026-01-26-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | Go ahead 6+ times | Polymarket | YES | 5 (needs 6) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-26 | [Ryanair (RYAAY)](/e/2026-01-26-ryanair-earnings-call) | Holiday | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | anyone |
| 2026-01-26 | [Ryanair (RYAAY)](/e/2026-01-26-ryanair-earnings-call) | Starlink | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | anyone |
| 2026-01-25 | [Donald Trump](/trump) | Covid / Pandemic | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-25 | [Donald Trump](/trump) | Crypto / Bitcoin | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-25 | [Donald Trump](/trump) | Great Shape | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-25 | [Donald Trump](/trump) | Radical Left Lunatic | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-25 | [Donald Trump](/trump) | Venezuela On Steroids | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-23 | [Elon Musk](/e/2026-01-23-elon-musk-keynote) | Robotaxi | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-21 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-01-21-zohran-mamdani-remarks-1bd3bd) | Trump / President | Kalshi | NO | 2 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-20 | [Netflix (NFLX)](/e/2026-01-20-netflix-earnings-call) | Warner Bros | Kalshi | NO | 3 (needs 1) | company speakers + operator |
| 2026-01-19 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-01-19-zohran-mamdani-remarks-7fefdf) | Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | NO | 5 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-19 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-01-19-zohran-mamdani-remarks-7fefdf) | Africa / African | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-19 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-01-19-zohran-mamdani-remarks-7fefdf) | Crisis | Kalshi | NO | 2 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-19 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-01-19-zohran-mamdani-remarks-7fefdf) | Crisis | Kalshi | NO | 2 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-19 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-01-19-zohran-mamdani-remarks-7fefdf) | Morocco / Moroccan | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-19 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-01-19-zohran-mamdani-remarks-7fefdf) | Safe / Safer / Safety | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-19 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-01-19-zohran-mamdani-remarks-7fefdf) | Soccer | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-19 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-01-19-zohran-mamdani-remarks-7fefdf) | Trump / President | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-19 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-01-19-zohran-mamdani-remarks-7fefdf) | Working People / Working Class | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-15 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-01-15-zohran-mamdani-remarks-60a1ca) | Civic | Polymarket | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-15 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-01-15-zohran-mamdani-remarks-60a1ca) | Economy / Economic | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-15 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-01-15-zohran-mamdani-remarks-60a1ca) | Home / Housing | Kalshi | NO | 4 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-15 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-01-15-zohran-mamdani-remarks-60a1ca) | Home / Housing | Polymarket | NO | 4 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-15 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-01-15-zohran-mamdani-remarks-60a1ca) | Politics | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-15 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-01-15-zohran-mamdani-remarks-60a1ca) | Queens / Manhattan / Brooklyn | Polymarket | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-15 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-01-15-zohran-mamdani-remarks-60a1ca) | Tip / Fee | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-15 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-01-15-zohran-mamdani-remarks-60a1ca) | Working People / Working Class | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-13 | [JPMorgan (JPM)](/e/2026-01-13-jpmorgan-earnings-call) | Buyback | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | company speakers + operator |
| 2026-01-13 | [JPMorgan (JPM)](/e/2026-01-13-jpmorgan-earnings-call) | Buyback | Polymarket | NO | 1 (needs 1) | anyone |
| 2026-01-12 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-01-12-zohran-mamdani-remarks-2c2e11) | Free Bus / Fast & Free | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-12 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-01-12-zohran-mamdani-remarks-2c2e11) | Home / Housing | Kalshi | NO | 2 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-12 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-01-12-zohran-mamdani-remarks-2c2e11) | ICE / National Guard | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-12 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-01-12-zohran-mamdani-remarks-2c2e11) | Immigrant / Immigration | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-12 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-01-12-zohran-mamdani-remarks-2c2e11) | Immigrant / Immigration | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-12 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-01-12-zohran-mamdani-remarks-2c2e11) | NYPD | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-09 | [JD Vance](/e/2026-01-08-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | Learing | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-08 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-01-08-zohran-mamdani-remarks-45d208) | Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-08 | [Prime Minister's Questions](/e/2026-01-07-prime-ministers-questions-pmqs) | Clean / Green | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-08 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-01-08-zohran-mamdani-remarks-45d208) | Inequality / Crisis | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-08 | [Zohran Mamdani](/e/2026-01-08-zohran-mamdani-remarks-45d208) | Trump | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2026-01-07 | [White House press briefing](/e/2026-01-07-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | role: press secretary |
| 2026-01-05 | [Jensen Huang](/e/2026-01-05-jensen-huang-keynote) | Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times | Polymarket | NO | 20 (needs 20) | named speaker only |
| 2025-12-18 | [FedEx (FDX)](/e/2025-12-18-fedex-earnings-call) | Truck | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | anyone |
| 2025-12-17 | [Micron (MU)](/e/2025-12-17-micron-earnings-call) | Automation | Kalshi | NO | 2 (needs 1) | company speakers + operator |
| 2025-12-17 | [Micron (MU)](/e/2025-12-17-micron-earnings-call) | Hyperscaler | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | company speakers + operator |
| 2025-12-17 | [Micron (MU)](/e/2025-12-17-micron-earnings-call) | Inventory | Kalshi | NO | 4 (needs 1) | company speakers + operator |
| 2025-12-17 | [Micron (MU)](/e/2025-12-17-micron-earnings-call) | New York | Kalshi | NO | 4 (needs 1) | company speakers + operator |
| 2025-12-17 | [Micron (MU)](/e/2025-12-17-micron-earnings-call) | Smartphone | Kalshi | NO | 5 (needs 1) | company speakers + operator |
| 2025-12-17 | [Micron (MU)](/e/2025-12-17-micron-earnings-call) | Tariff | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | company speakers + operator |
| 2025-12-03 | [Snowflake (SNOW)](/e/2025-12-03-snowflake-earnings-call) | Hiring | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | company speakers + operator |
| 2025-12-03 | [Snowflake (SNOW)](/e/2025-12-03-snowflake-earnings-call) | Hiring | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | anyone |
| 2025-11-20 | [Prime Minister's Questions](/e/2025-11-19-prime-ministers-questions-pmqs) | Clean / Green | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2025-11-11 | [Nebius (NBIS)](/e/2025-11-11-nebius-earnings-call) | Robotic | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | company speakers + operator |
| 2025-11-07 | [Vlad Tenev on TBPN](/e/2025-11-06-tbpn-podcast-episode) | Kalshi | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2025-10-30 | [Amazon (AMZN)](/e/2025-10-30-amazon-earnings-call) | Project Kuiper | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | company speakers + operator |
| 2025-10-30 | [Amazon (AMZN)](/e/2025-10-30-amazon-earnings-call) | Project Kuiper | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | anyone |
| 2025-10-29 | [Satya Nadella on TBPN](/e/2025-10-28-tbpn-podcast-episode) | ChatGPT | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2025-10-29 | [Chipotle (CMG)](/e/2025-10-29-chipotle-earnings-call) | Share Purchase | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | company speakers + operator |
| 2025-10-29 | [Chipotle (CMG)](/e/2025-10-29-chipotle-earnings-call) | Share Purchase | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | anyone |
| 2025-10-01 | [White House press briefing](/e/2025-10-01-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | Go ahead 5+ times | Polymarket | YES | 4 (needs 5) | named speaker only |
| 2025-10-01 | [White House press briefing](/e/2025-10-01-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | Putin | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | role: press secretary |
| 2025-09-30 | [Nike (NKE)](/e/2025-09-30-nike-earnings-call) | Express Lane | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | company speakers + operator |
| 2025-09-09 | [Apple](/e/2025-09-09-apple-keynote) | Airtag | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2025-09-09 | [Apple](/e/2025-09-09-apple-keynote) | Chip | Kalshi | NO | 2 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2025-08-12 | [AMC](/e/2025-08-12-amc-earnings-call) | Advertisement | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 1) | anyone |
| 2025-07-22 | [Sam Altman](/e/2025-07-22-sam-altman-keynote) | Innovation | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2025-07-17 | [Netflix (NFLX)](/e/2025-07-17-netflix-earnings-call) | AI / Artificial Intelligence 7+ times | Polymarket | YES | 5 (needs 7) | company speakers + operator |
| 2025-06-18 | [FOMC press conference](/e/2025-06-18-fomc-press-conference-presser) | Judge | Polymarket | NO | 1 (needs 1) | named speaker only |
| 2025-05-28 | [NVIDIA (NVDA)](/e/2025-05-28-nvidia-earnings-call) | A100 | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | company speakers |
| 2025-05-22 | [White House press briefing](/e/2025-05-22-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | Putin | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | role: press secretary |
| 2025-05-19 | [White House press briefing](/e/2025-05-19-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | Houthis | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | role: press secretary |
| 2025-05-19 | [White House press briefing](/e/2025-05-19-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | India | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | role: press secretary |
| 2025-05-19 | [White House press briefing](/e/2025-05-19-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | Pakistan | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | role: press secretary |
| 2025-05-08 | [Coinbase (COIN)](/e/2025-05-08-coinbase-earnings-call) | Decentralized Exchange / DEX | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | company speakers |
| 2025-04-30 | [Meta (META)](/e/2025-04-30-meta-earnings-call) | Quest 3 | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | company speakers |
| 2025-04-28 | [White House press briefing](/e/2025-04-28-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | Israel | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | role: press secretary |
| 2025-04-28 | [White House press briefing](/e/2025-04-28-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | Student | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | role: press secretary |
| 2025-04-28 | [White House press briefing](/e/2025-04-28-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | Tariff | Kalshi | NO | 3 (needs 1) | role: press secretary |
| 2025-04-28 | [White House press briefing](/e/2025-04-28-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | Ukraine | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | role: press secretary |
| 2025-04-22 | [White House press briefing](/e/2025-04-22-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | President 60+ times | Polymarket | YES | 58 (needs 60) | named speaker only |
| 2025-04-01 | [White House press briefing](/e/2025-04-01-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | Go Ahead 5+ times | Polymarket | YES | 4 (needs 5) | named speaker only |
| 2025-03-20 | [White House press briefing](/e/2025-03-19-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | Gary / Underhill | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | role: press secretary |
| 2025-03-17 | [White House press briefing](/e/2025-03-17-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | America First | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | role: press secretary |
| 2025-03-17 | [White House press briefing](/e/2025-03-17-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | Bessent | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | role: press secretary |
| 2025-03-17 | [White House press briefing](/e/2025-03-17-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | DOGE / Department of Government Efficiency / Doge | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | role: press secretary |
| 2025-03-17 | [White House press briefing](/e/2025-03-17-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | Deport | Kalshi | NO | 4 (needs 1) | role: press secretary |
| 2025-03-17 | [White House press briefing](/e/2025-03-17-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | Ford | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | role: press secretary |
| 2025-03-17 | [White House press briefing](/e/2025-03-17-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | Fraud | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | role: press secretary |
| 2025-03-17 | [White House press briefing](/e/2025-03-17-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | Inflation | Kalshi | NO | 2 (needs 1) | role: press secretary |
| 2025-03-17 | [White House press briefing](/e/2025-03-17-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | Russia | Kalshi | NO | 2 (needs 1) | role: press secretary |
| 2025-03-17 | [White House press briefing](/e/2025-03-17-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | Stock | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | role: press secretary |
| 2025-03-17 | [White House press briefing](/e/2025-03-17-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | Ukraine | Kalshi | NO | 1 (needs 1) | role: press secretary |
| 2025-03-11 | [White House press briefing](/e/2025-03-11-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | Alexis / Nungaray | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | role: press secretary |
| 2025-03-11 | [White House press briefing](/e/2025-03-11-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | America First | Kalshi | NO | 2 (needs 1) | role: press secretary |
| 2025-03-11 | [White House press briefing](/e/2025-03-11-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | CBS | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | role: press secretary |
| 2025-03-11 | [White House press briefing](/e/2025-03-11-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | DJ / Devarjaye | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | role: press secretary |
| 2025-03-11 | [White House press briefing](/e/2025-03-11-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | DOGE / Department of Government Efficiency / Doge | Kalshi | NO | 3 (needs 1) | role: press secretary |
| 2025-03-11 | [White House press briefing](/e/2025-03-11-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | Fraud | Kalshi | NO | 4 (needs 1) | role: press secretary |
| 2025-03-11 | [White House press briefing](/e/2025-03-11-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | Inflation | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | role: press secretary |
| 2025-03-11 | [White House press briefing](/e/2025-03-11-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | Israel | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | role: press secretary |
| 2025-03-11 | [White House press briefing](/e/2025-03-11-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | Mohmmad / Sharifullah | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | role: press secretary |
| 2025-03-11 | [White House press briefing](/e/2025-03-11-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | Russia | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | role: press secretary |
| 2025-03-11 | [White House press briefing](/e/2025-03-11-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | Trillion | Kalshi | NO | 2 (needs 1) | role: press secretary |
| 2025-03-11 | [White House press briefing](/e/2025-03-11-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | Ukraine | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | role: press secretary |
| 2025-03-11 | [White House press briefing](/e/2025-03-11-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | Wall Street | Kalshi | NO | 3 (needs 1) | role: press secretary |
| 2025-03-05 | [White House press briefing](/e/2025-03-05-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | President 100+ times | Polymarket | NO | 103 (needs 100) | named speaker only |
| 2025-03-05 | [White House press briefing](/e/2025-03-05-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | War 5+ times | Polymarket | NO | 5 (needs 5) | named speaker only |
| 2025-03-05 | [White House press briefing](/e/2025-03-05-white-house-press-briefing-briefing) | Zelensky 3+ times | Polymarket | YES | 0 (needs 3) | named speaker only |
| 2025-02-26 | [NVIDIA (NVDA)](/e/2025-02-26-nvidia-earnings-call) | DeepSeek | Kalshi | YES | 0 (needs 1) | company speakers |
| 2024-12-18 | [FOMC press conference](/e/2024-12-18-fomc-press-conference-presser) | Growth 10+ times | Polymarket | NO | 10 (needs 10) | named speaker only |